Tech trends 2023

Here is collection of some predictions for year 2023. This is a collection of links to prediction articles followed by a short quote or quotes of what I see the main points in them.

Ennuste vuodelle 2023: Ongelmat helpottavat

“After a couple of exceptional years, the electronics market, challenged by the pandemic and pent-up demand, has signs of a calmer ride on the horizon. Mouser’s Mark Burr-Lonnon predicts slower, but more predictable growth”
“According to World Semiconductor Trade Statistics, the global semiconductor market will grow by 13.9 percent in 2022 and continue to grow by 4.6 percent in 2023. While these statistics show that global demand for semiconductors is slowing, they still show steady growth in all key regions of the world as the electronics industry begins to settle into a more manageable state of equilibrium.”

AMD, Intel, and Nvidia Reportedly Slash Orders with TSMC

“Large customers revise orders to TSMC due to the economy slowdown.”
“According to the report, virtually all TSMC clients will experience a downturn and have to cut orders, so TSMC’s utilization will decline significantly in Q1 2023. For example, the utilization rate of TSMC’s N7-capable lines (7nm, 6nm-class technologies) will decline to around 50% in early 2023. Furthermore, even TSMC’s N5/N4-capable lines will be underutilized”

Tech That Will Change Your Life in 2023

“Big layoffs at Meta, Amazon, Snap and others? A global crypto fraud set in the Bahamas? Elon Musk buying and running Twitter? Look, not even Nostradamus could have seen all that coming.”
“The Metaverse, Now More Than Just Meta. For the last two years, we’ve said this is the year for virtual and augmented reality. But in 2023 we’re confident: headsets that give you a choice of VR (where you’re in a virtual world) and AR (where the virtual is overlaid in your real world) are coming. And they won’t just be from Meta, current holder of 90% of the VR market, according to research firm IDC.”
“Tech companies and their investors are grappling with the industry’s biggest downturn since at least 2008. The result is layoffs and hiring freezes at companies large and small. The PC and chip industries in particular have been clobbered by the biggest drop in sales in more than two decades. And while many survivors of past tech downturns preach that cuts should be deep, fast and early, it appears that the pain for tech workers will continue into 2023.”
“Account moochers, beware: The Netflix password crackdown is coming in early 2023. Netflix is the first streamer with an enforcement policy.”
“China and the U.S. are so interdependent—for manufacturing of smartphones and other electronics, for EV batteries and solar panels, for raw materials and intellectual property—it seems impossible they could go their separate ways with their own parallel supply chains and production bases. Yet it’s happening.”
“Artificial Intelligence Finds Real Use”
“Smart Home Gets Easier-ish”
“European Union legislation is changing Apple’s smartphones.”

Digipelaaminen ja e-pelimediat entistä suositumpia – kännykkäpelaaminen ei kasva enää

“Digital gaming and the consumption of game-related media content is increasingly popular, according to the Gamer Barometer 2022 study conducted at the University of Tampere. An increasing proportion of Finns play digital games at least occasionally, but the number of active mobile players is no longer growing at the previous pace.
Active mobile gaming has for the first time in the history of Gamer Barometers turned into a slight decrease, but still 59 percent of Finns still occasionally play mobile games.”

Xiaomin uusin sisältää tekniikkaa, jota ei ole vielä edes standardoitu

“Wi-Fi 7 support is of course interesting, when the IEEE standard is apparently not being completed until around 2024. Next year, however, a number of Wi-Fi 7-compatible smartphones will be introduced to the market. Xiaomi’s 13 Pro will probably be the first of them. Its arrival in Finland and prices will be revealed later.”

The tech IPO market collapsed in 2022, and next year doesn’t look much better

3 views: Predicting 2023’s key startup themes

“Anna Heim: The rise of API-first startups will continue in 2023
I am convinced that API-first will be a major trend in 2023, with this approach being both more widespread than it was previously, as well as more successful than less API-heavy options.
That APIs are on the rise isn’t exactly new — but API-first startups are a subgroup in this world, and one that is enjoying tailwinds.”

C++ meni Javan ohi

“The software company Tiobe measures the popularity of programming languages with its famous index, which measures search engine searches. Changes on the list happen slowly, but in December something happened right at the top of the list. C++ became the third most popular language over Java.”
“It’s not a trivial change, as C++ overtook Java for the first time in history. The top of the list is unchanged. Python and C are clearly in a class of their own.”

Sanna Marin: EU:n pitää katkaista teknologinen riippuvuus Kiinasta

“In an interview with Slush CEO Eerika Savolainen, Marin demanded that Europe break its technological dependence on China.
- We cannot depend on China. Economic relations should not be severed, but we cannot be in a position where an authoritarian country operating with a different logic is able to blackmail us, Marin said.
- I am afraid that we will make the same mistake with technology and digitality as with energy. We thought that a close economic relationship would prevent war, but we were wrong.”

Kyberturvan ammattilaisista on huutava pula

“There is an acute shortage of cyber security professionals. There is an estimated global shortage of three million professionals.”

Innovators 2023
These are some of the innovators and leaders in the electronics technology space.

Ennuste vuodelle 2023: Ongelmat helpottavat

“the demand for smarter and more networked products and systems has also spread to business-to-business sectors, where digitization and the emergence of the fourth industrial revolution have begun to take over the sector. For example, in manufacturing, the Industrial Internet of Things (IIoT), characterized by interconnected sensors, communication/data transfer, and advanced data analytics, has transformed the efficiency of production processes in the factory. The IIoT depends on highly advanced integrated circuits that provide intelligence for sensing, measurement and monitoring, power management, control and communication.”

1,139 Comments

  1. Tomi Engdahl says:

    Snapdragon X Elite Specs Leak Reveal Top-Tier PC SoC Sports 12 Oryon Cores, 2x Faster CPU, GPU Compared To x86 Chips, 5G-Ready & More
    https://wccftech.com/qualcomm-snapdragon-x-elite-pc-soc-detailed-specifications-leak/

    Reply
  2. Tomi Engdahl says:

    AMD Ryzen Threadripper PRO 7995WX 96 Core CPU Shatters Cinebench Performance Benchmarks, Almost 150K Score
    https://wccftech.com/amd-ryzen-threadripper-pro-7995wx-96-core-cpu-shatters-cinebench-performance-benchmarks/

    Reply
  3. Tomi Engdahl says:

    ‘Mind-blowing’ IBM chip speeds up AI
    IBM’s NorthPole processor sidesteps need to access external memory, boosting computing power and saving energy.
    https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-023-03267-0#Echobox=1697793214-1

    Reply
  4. Tomi Engdahl says:

    NEWS
    19 October 2023
    ‘Mind-blowing’ IBM chip speeds up AI
    IBM’s NorthPole processor sidesteps need to access external memory, boosting computing power and saving energy.
    https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-023-03267-0#Echobox=1697793214-1

    Reply
  5. Tomi Engdahl says:

    AT&T Moves to Disrupt Test of SpaceX’s Starlink Cellular Service
    SpaceX accuses AT&T and the Rural Wireless Association of waging a ‘desperate, 11th-hour campaign to prevent’ the test, which would involve a second-generation Starlink satellite.
    https://uk.pcmag.com/networking/149164/att-moves-to-disrupt-test-of-spacexs-starlink-cellular-service

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  6. Tomi Engdahl says:

    Starlink’s new cellular service lets you stay connected even off the grid
    News
    By Cesar Cadenas published October 12, 2023
    Maintain a connection even in the most remote locations
    https://www.techradar.com/phones/starlinks-new-cellular-service-lets-you-stay-connected-even-off-the-grid

    Reply
  7. Tomi Engdahl says:

    Microsoft tells Windows users how to install Linux
    On Microsoft’s official support page, the Windows company now explains how users can install Linux for free.
    Michael Söldner
    https://www.pcworld.com/article/2105336/microsoft-tells-windows-users-how-to-install-linux.html

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  8. Tomi Engdahl says:

    Qualcomm will try to have its Apple Silicon moment in PCs with “Snapdragon X”
    We should learn more about Qualcomm’s high-end Arm chip later this month.
    https://arstechnica.com/gadgets/2023/10/qualcomm-will-try-to-have-its-apple-silicon-moment-in-pcs-with-snapdragon-x/

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  9. Tomi Engdahl says:

    Chinese CPU Maker, Phytium Unveils Next-Gen Architecture, 3 GHz Chip on Par With 4 GHz AMD Zen 3
    https://wccftech.com/chinese-cpu-maker-phytium-next-gen-architecture-3-ghz-chip-on-par-4-ghz-amd-zen-3/

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  10. Tomi Engdahl says:

    China might be licking its lips as Canon reveals tech that could produce 2nm chips without EUV
    https://www.phonearena.com/news/canon-nanoimprint-lithography_id151586#Echobox=1697591679

    Reply
  11. Tomi Engdahl says:

    Core i9 14900KF Breaks World Record, Almost Achieves 9.1GHz
    By Aaron Klotz published October 17, 2023
    The CPU frequency world records keep on coming.
    https://www.tomshardware.com/news/core-i9-14900kf-breaks-world-record-almost-achieves-91ghz

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  12. Tomi Engdahl says:

    Apple’s M3 chips bring ray tracing to Macs
    The M3, M3 Pro and M3 Max are the first 3nm chips to reach PCs.
    https://www.engadget.com/apples-m3-chips-pro-max-003004080.html?fbclid=IwAR3AakL7t5AH0UsTuJbjIJ4HhVmxeWZMLKGvifcLTk8XcNvSZhHi_lrMKZE

    There’s nothing truly spooky about Apple’s new M3 chips — except, perhaps, for how scared they’ll make Intel, AMD and Qualcomm. During its “Scary Fast” Halloween Eve product event (at 8PM Eastern Apple, really?) the company officially debuted its new M3, M3 Pro and M3 Max chips. As featured in tonight’s Apple event, the M3 series will be featured in the revamped MacBook Pro 14-inch and 16-inch, as well as the 24-inch iMac, which never got an M2 refresh.

    Reply
  13. Tomi Engdahl says:

    The ban of unauthorized controllers could be a way to keep players from getting a competitive advantage… and also for Microsoft to protect its official Xbox accessory business.

    Microsoft issues system-level ban for “unauthorized” Xbox accessories
    Crackdown limits some cheat devices but also hurts fighting and accessibility hardware.
    by Kyle Orland – Oct 30, 2023 7:13pm EET
    https://arstechnica.com/gaming/2023/10/microsoft-issues-system-level-ban-for-unauthorized-xbox-accessories/?utm_medium=social&utm_social-type=owned&utm_brand=ars&utm_source=facebook&fbclid=IwAR0vYLdrol_DSpmANSUL96erVY1_aKbk3-XztSXmjLKgd9NBn_vX-t6Owwk

    Microsoft has begun warning Xbox users that “unauthorized” accessories will no longer work on the company’s consoles. The move is likely an effort to limit online cheating that can be enabled by certain external devices, but it seems set to have unintended consequences for communities that rely on adapters for more legitimate users.

    In recent days, users on sites like ResetEra and Windows Central began reporting encounters with “error 0x82d60002″ when they plug certain accessories into their Xbox. An on-screen message appearing alongside that error indicates that “using unauthorized accessories compromises your gaming experience” and refers users to Microsoft’s list of officially supported accessories.

    https://www.xbox.com/en-US/accessories?ranMID=24542&ranEAID=TnL5HPStwNw&ranSiteID=TnL5HPStwNw-zJoMVDddHv3.WJVFDh1ypQ&epi=TnL5HPStwNw-zJoMVDddHv3.WJVFDh1ypQ&irgwc=1&OCID=AIDcmm549zy227_aff_7593_1243925&tduid=%28ir__idd3zlzp2ckfdnrfeiaglwfabe2xbuzsmxyxvcqf00%29%287593%29%281243925%29%28TnL5HPStwNw-zJoMVDddHv3.WJVFDh1ypQ%29%28%29&irclickid=_idd3zlzp2ckfdnrfeiaglwfabe2xbuzsmxyxvcqf00

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  14. Tomi Engdahl says:

    SpaceX’s Starlink has reached a milestone achievement by hitting break even cashflow, CEO Elon Musk said Thursday.

    SpaceX’s Starlink has reached a milestone achievement by hitting break even cashflow, CEO Elon Musk said Thursday.
    https://techcrunch.com/2023/11/02/musk-spacexs-starlink-has-achieved-breakeven-cash-flow/?tpcc=tcplusfacebook&fbclid=IwAR2pKWq4HvoG4EAAG2ZlJGlcPd9GifDaFhTY1fUiLELBh4k35ZjwjhEJ2pc

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  15. Tomi Engdahl says:

    Jay Goldberg / Digits to Dollars:
    Apple’s M3 series shows a return to core messaging themes around user human usability; producing three M3 chips likely has to be close to $1B in tape-out costs

    Apple M3 and the State of CPUs
    https://digitstodollars.com/2023/11/02/apple-m3-and-the-state-of-cpus/

    Reply
  16. Tomi Engdahl says:

    Apple M3 CPUs Hit 4.05 GHz, Challenge Raptor Lake in Geekbench
    News
    By Anton Shilov published 2 days ago
    Apple’s M3 produces mixed results in Geekbench 6
    https://www.tomshardware.com/pc-components/cpus/apple-m3-cpus-hit-405-ghz-challenge-raptor-lake-in-geekbench

    Reply
  17. Tomi Engdahl says:

    Eric Zeman / PCMag:
    MediaTek announces its Dimensity 9300 chip for high-end Android smartphones and tablets, using TSMC’s 4nm process, arriving in devices before the end of 2023 — MediaTek claims its new flagship mobile processor, the Dimensity 9300, will provide the performance, AI power …

    MediaTek Challenges Qualcomm With AI-Assisted Dimensity 9300 Chip for Phones
    https://uk.pcmag.com/processors/149496/mediatek-challenges-qualcomm-with-ai-assisted-dimensity-9300-chip-for-phones

    MediaTek claims its new flagship mobile processor, the Dimensity 9300, will provide the performance, AI power, and multimedia capabilities needed to take on the best chips from Apple, Google, and Qualcomm.

    Reply
  18. Tomi Engdahl says:

    The recent announcements by Apple and Qualcomm of the M3 and Snapdragon X, respectively, reveal that x86 architecture risks being dethroned by Arm as the chip architecture of choice for laptops.

    Grown-up Arm Chips Look to Dethrone x86 in Laptops Qualcomm’s Snapdragon X and Apple M3 show Arm architecture gaining ground
    https://spectrum.ieee.org/qualcomm-snapdragon?share_id=7952179&socialux=facebook&utm_campaign=RebelMouse&utm_content=IEEE+Spectrum&utm_medium=social&utm_source=facebook&fbclid=IwAR2176khipjH5vgeCa3DB0sw7V4Opdpuf_LiHNTfsMJpO24xoCErZ3cdftk

    Qualcomm is again coming for laptops—and this time, it means business.

    At the company’s October 2023 Snapdragon Summit, Qualcomm announced the Snapdragon X Elite, a system-on-a-chip (SoC) with a custom Arm architecture designed specifically for laptop PCs. The new chip is far from Qualcomm’s first attempt to upset the PC’s status quo (the first Snapdragon laptops hit stores in 2017), but experts agree: this time, it’s different.

    “I think the consensus is that [Qualcomm senior vice president of engineering] Gerard Williams and team have designed a compelling chip at the core level, definitely, and are at parity, if not outperforming, the competitive offerings out there, including those by Apple,” says Leonard Lee, Executive Analyst and Founder at NeXt Curve.

    Reply
  19. Tomi Engdahl says:

    It-osastot katuvat suurinta osaa softahankinnoistaan
    Suvi Korhonen6.11.202311:47|päivitetty6.11.202311:49CIODIGITALOUSPILVIPALVELUT
    Taitavat ohjelmistokauppiaat voivat huomata ostajan mahdolliset katumuksen syyt jo myyntiprosessin aikana.
    https://www.tivi.fi/uutiset/it-osastot-katuvat-suurinta-osaa-softahankinnoistaan/855eeef3-f6a2-4b00-9224-bbf707404f92

    Reply
  20. Tomi Engdahl says:

    Salaperäinen ”kännykäntappaja” paljastui: tekoäly rintataskuun, näyttö kämmenelle
    9.11.202310:02
    Ex-applelaisten laitteen hintalappu on päätähuimaava.
    https://www.mikrobitti.fi/uutiset/salaperainen-kannykantappaja-paljastui-tekoaly-rintataskuun-naytto-kammenelle/f282a8aa-d557-46e0-834d-f63597d2f37a

    Startup-yhtiö Humane on kerännyt paljon huomiota tekoälybuumin keskellä. Entisten Apple-työntekijöiden perustama yhtiö on jo pitemmän aikaa hehkuttanut kehittävänsä tuotetta, joka vapauttaa maailman älypuhelinten kynsistä.

    Varsinainen tuote on AI Pin, joka on luotu yhteistyössä Microsoftin ja tekoäly-yhtiö OpenAI:n kanssa.

    Tilaa tästä Mikrobitin maksuton uutiskirje – Kokoamme kiinnostavimmat jutut sähköpostiisi päivittäin
    Paitaan tai takkiin kiinnitettävä laite tarjoaa tekoälyominaisuuksia helpottamaan käyttäjänsä arkea. Käytännössä kyse on mukana kulkevasta tekoälyassistentista, joka osaa hoitaa myös itsenäisenä laitteena puhelimen virkaa.

    Reply
  21. Tomi Engdahl says:

    Intia haluaa televisioantennit älypuhelimiin – Nokia, Ericsson, Qualcomm ja Samsung liittoutuivat vastarintaan
    https://mobiili.fi/2023/11/09/intia-haluaa-televisioantennit-alypuhelimiin-nokia-ericsson-qualcomm-ja-samsung-liittoutuivat-vastarintaan/

    Intian hallinto harkitsee vaatimusta, jonka mukaan älypuhelimet maassa pitäisi varustaa perinteisen antennitelevisioverkon tuella.

    Intiassa on noussut esille esitys, että älypuhelimiin maassa pitäisi poikkeuksellisesti lisätä ATSC 3.0 -yhteensopivuus, mikä käytännössä tarkoittaa valmiutta vastaaanottaa antennitelevisioverkon lähetyksiä ilman mobiiliverkkoyhteyttä.

    Yllättävä ehdotus perinteisen teknologian sisällyttämisestä puhelimiin on saanut verkkoteknologiayhtiöt, mobiilialan teknologiakehittäjät sekä älypuhelinvalmistajat takajaloilleen.

    Älypuhelimista ei entuudestaan löydy tukea ATSC 3.0:lle, mikä tarkoittaisi mahdollisiin uusiin vaatimuksiin vaadittavan laitteiden kehittämistä ja lisää komponentteja. Ehdotuksen vastustajat arvioivat laitekustannuksen kasvavan jopa 30 dollarilla eli noin 28 eurolla, minkä lisäksi tuotekehitys- ja tuotantosuunnitelmat menisivät uusiksi.

    Uusi vaatimus voisi myös vastustajien mukaan heikentää puhelinten akunkestoa sekä heikentää mobiiliverkon toimivuutta.

    Taustalla Intian halussa tuoda televisiolähetykset älypuhelimiin antennitelevisioverkon tekniikalla on tavoite vapauttaa tiedonsiirtokapasiteettia ruuhkautuneista mobiiliverkoista.

    Toistaiseksi Intian suunnitelmissa on kyse vasta ehdotuksesta

    Reply
  22. Tomi Engdahl says:

    Ikea launches its first smart LED strip at the right price / The Ormanäs RGB LED strip is HomeKit-compatible using the Ikea Dirigera smart hub, but only in the Netherlands for now.
    https://www.theverge.com/2023/11/8/23952022/ikea-ormanas-rgb-led-light-strip-dirigera-homekit-compatible

    Ikea launched the Ormanäs, its first smart RGB LED light strip, in the Netherlands. The news comes by way of Dutch tech site Tweakers, which notes that the Ormanäs is a four-meter, or roughly 13-foot, dimmable Zigbee affair for €29.99 (about $32) that works with the company’s Dirigera smart hub. The light strip is only available in the Netherlands for now, but Ikea typically starts its rollouts there before bringing products to the US and beyond.

    Reply
  23. Tomi Engdahl says:

    Google plans RISC-V Android tools in 2024, wants developers to “be ready”
    We’ve got RISC-V OS support, incoming chips, and soon, an app ecosystem.
    https://arstechnica.com/gadgets/2023/10/google-plans-risc-v-android-tools-in-2024-wants-developers-to-be-ready/

    Reply
  24. Tomi Engdahl says:

    Boeing Halts Plan for Starlink Competitor
    Boeing gives up an FCC license to operate a low-Earth orbiting satellite constellation, which would have involved 147 satellites.
    https://uk.pcmag.com/networking/149407/boeing-halts-plan-for-starlink-competitor

    Reply
  25. Tomi Engdahl says:

    Windows CE, Microsoft’s stunted middle child, reaches end of support at 26 years
    From netbooks and PDAs to ATMs, voting kiosks, and ungainly presidential phones.
    https://arstechnica.com/gadgets/2023/10/windows-ce-microsofts-stunted-middle-child-reaches-end-of-support-at-26-years/

    Reply
  26. Tomi Engdahl says:

    Intel doesn’t think that Arm CPUs will make a dent in the laptop market
    “They’ve been relegated to pretty insignificant roles in the PC business.”
    https://arstechnica.com/gadgets/2023/10/intels-ceo-doesnt-seem-worried-about-arm-chips-from-qualcomm-nvidia-or-amd/

    Reply
  27. Tomi Engdahl says:

    Leica camera has built-in defense against misleading AI, costs $9,125
    The M11-P is the first camera to integrate Content Credentials.
    https://arstechnica.com/gadgets/2023/10/leicas-9125-camera-automatically-stores-authenticity-proving-metadata/

    Reply
  28. Tomi Engdahl says:

    Maahan voi iskeä megaluokan aurinkomyrsky, jollaista ei ole nähty 160 vuoteen – Tällaiset olisivat seuraukset
    Äärimmäisen aurinkomyrskyn aikaan revontulia näkyisi Espanjan Valenciassa asti ja monessa maassa olisi laajoja sähkökatkoja.
    https://www.iltalehti.fi/ulkomaat/a/479c5700-fb4d-425c-a2ee-98443cf79c1a

    Reply

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