What can we expect for the fast-moving telecommunications market this year?
There are many predictions. I started looking for information from Twelve 2012 Predictions For The Telecom Industry and Top 12 Hot Design Technologies for 2012 articles. Then I did some more research on what is happening on the field and decided to make my own list of what is expected this year. You can go to the original information sources by clicking the links to see where all this information comes from.
The global telecommunications services market will grow at a 4% rate in 2012 (was 7% in 2011).
Mobile growth does not stop. The number of global mobile subscriptions will pass the 6 billion mark in February. India will pass China to become the world’s largest mobile market in terms of subscriptions.
The mobile handset market will surpass the $200 billion mark. Smartphones are most heavily used by people under 45, and that age group increasingly sees the smartphone or tablet as a portal to Facebook and Twitter, among other social networks. The demand for the chips that generate and process that data in smartphones is increasing (sales of smartphone applications processors surged to $2.2 billion in the third quarter of 2011). Six Companies Want Supremacy On The Smartphones Chip Market! Qualcomm Look Out!
There is lots of competition on mobile OS marker, but I expect that thing continue pretty much as 2011 ended: Android continues to boom, RIM and Microsoft decline. Symbian’s future is uncertain although Symbian started and finished 2011 as the undisputed king of mobile OSs (33.59%). Windows Phone will try to get to market and Leaked Windows Phone Roadmap gives us a peek into the future. Java Micro Edition making a comeback according to the NetApplications report because large number of low-cost feature phones. The real mobile application battle lines of 2012 will be drawn across the landscape of HTML5.Tizen open source project tries to push to mobile Linux market (first version Q1 2012) with ideas from Meego, LiMo and WebOS. Cars and smartphones start to communicate using MirrorLink technology to allow new features.
Mobile campaigns to be hot in 2012 presidential race article tells that though mobile advertising not seen much on the campaign trail, mobile strategy is expected to be important for attracting younger voters. Social networks played an important role in the last U.S. presidential election, but the explosive growth in smartphone usage and the introduction of tablets could make or break the candidates for president in 2012. Expect to see specialized apps to help campaign groupies follow the candidates.
Text messaging has been very profitable business for mobile phone operators and making them lots of money. Text Messaging Is in Decline in Some Countries tell that all signs point to text messaging’s continuing its decline. There has been already decline in Finland, Hong Kong and Australia. The number of text messages sent by cellphone customers in USA is still growing, but that growth is gradually slowing, “SMS erosion” is expected to hit AT&T and Verizon in this year or next years. The fading allure of text messaging is most likely tied to the rise of alternative services, which allow customers to send messages free using a cellphone’s Internet connection.
EU politicians want to ban roaming charges according to Computer Sweden magazine article. If the proposal becomes law in the EU, it takes away slippery roaming charges for mobile data (could happen earliest at summer 2012, but I expect that it will take much more time). Roaming robbery to end – 2015 article tells that the goal is that the mobile roaming fees should be completely abolished the 2015th.
Near Field Communication (NFC) is becoming available in many mobile phones and new flexibility via organic materials can help in implementing NFC. NFC-enabled SIM cards are expected to become a worldwide standard. Electronic wallet in smartphones probably takes a step forward with this. Google, opened the game with Google Wallet service. According to research firm ABI Research estimates that in 2012 NFC phones is growing 24 million to 80 million units. There is still years to wait until mass market on NFC wallets starts. ABI Research estimates that there is 552 million NFC enabled devices at year 2016.
The 4G technology WiMax will see the beginning of its end in Asia. Like operators in other regions, Asian operators will opt for the rival 4G technology LTE instead.
The number of active (installed) PCs worldwide will pass the 2 billion mark. Broadband penetration continues to increase. Broadband penetration of the world’s population will pass the 10% mark globally. IPTV (Internet Protocol TV) penetration of the world’s population will pass the 1% mark. Broadband technologies are fundamentally transforming the way we live. UN wants two-thirds of the world online by 2015.
Today’s Cable Guy, Upgraded and Better-Dressed article tells that the cable guy is becoming sleeker and more sophisticated, just like the televisions and computers he installs. The nearly saturated marketplace means growth for cable companies must come from all the extras like high-speed Internet service, home security, digital recording devices and other high-tech upgrades.
Ethernet displaces proprietary field buses. As Ethernet displaces proprietary field buses to facilitate the operation of the digital factory. Ethernet switches are the ubiquitous building block of any intelligent network. Ethernet has also become the de facto networking technology in industrial automation even in mission-critical local networks. Modern Ethernet switches have added significant new functionality to Ethernet while decreasing port prices. Ethernet for Vehicles also becomes reality largely to serve the expected boom of camera-based applications in cars.
Operators’ growth will increasingly depend on their having a cloud computing strategy, an approach for the high-growth IT service market and a clear value proposition for the enterprise market. Data center technologies will be hot topic. 10GBase-T Technology will become technically and economically feasible interface option on data center servers. 10GBase-T Technology allows you to use RJ45 connectors and unshielded twisted pair cabling to provide 10Mbps, 100Mbps, 1Gbps, and 10Gbps data transmission, while being backward-compatible with prior generations.
40/100 Gbit/s Ethernet will be a hot topic. Carriers and datacenters have been clamoring for the technology to expand their core backbone networks. 2012–A Return to Normalcy and Pragmatic, Power Conscious 100G article mentions that in 2010 and 2011, the industry saw the first real roll-outs of 100G transport solutions based on Coherent Detection and FPGA-based Framers. In 2012 we’ll start to see 100G taking a bigger place in the build out of new and existing networks around the world. The initial deployments of 100G are clearly too costly and too power hungry to be widely deployed as the primary transport technology, so optical transport marketplace will move to much lower power and lower cost Direct Detection optical transport solutions. The average WDM link for 10G is dissipating about 3.5W per optical module, the average WDM link per 100G is dissipating about about 100W.
5 Major Changes Facing the Internet in 2012 article tells that 2012 is poised to go down in Internet history as one of the most significant 12-month periods from both a technical and policy perspective since the late 1990s. This year the Internet will face or can face several milestones: root servers may have a new operator, new company could operate the .com registry, up to 1000 new top-level domains will start being introduced, additional 10,000 Web sites will support IPv6 and Europe will run out of IPv4 addresses.
No IPv6 Doomsday In 2012. Yes, IPv4 addresses are running out, but a Y2K-style disaster/frenzy won’t be coming in 2012. Of course there’s a chance that panic will ensue when Europe’s RIPE hands out its last IPv4 addresses this summer, but ‘most understand that they can live without having to make any major investments immediately. Despite running out of IPv4 addresses we will be able to continue to use IPv4 techniques (Asia depleted all of its IPv4 address space already April 2011). ISP’s and hosting companies will not run out of IPs. This only means that the price per IP will start to slowly grow. Forward thinking enterprises can spend the year preparing for the new IPv6 protocol (USA is expected run out of addresses next year). Comcast has said it will offer production-quality IPv6 services across its nationwide network in 2012.
Operators start to pay more attention to the business opportunity of “M2M” (machine-to-machine connections). Investment and innovation in M2M (think smart energy meters and fleet trackers for logistics) will follow.
Smart Grid technologies include smart power management and architecture system components are already hot. Smart meter deployment on the rise globally. The global power utilities are the next mega-market moving from analog, standalone systems to digital networked technology. The opportunities are huge in everything from wireless components in smart meters to giant power electronics. First cut of some very basic framework standards have been drafted and lots of works needs to be done (ensure safety!). Forward-looking utilities and such vendors have now put business units and plans in place. IPv6 is seen as a needed technology in implementing Smart Grid communications. IPV6 has become a buzz word for smart grid firms.
You Will See A Ton Of Hype Around “The Internet Of Things” article tells that “The Internet Of Things” is a catchy term revolving around the idea that most everyday objects around us will be equipped with internet-collected electronics, and this will open up new applications. You Will See A Ton Of Hype Around “The Internet Of Things”, and it is hard to say if The Internet Of Things will be a huge business or a passing fad. NXP Semiconductor’s vision of Internet of Things starts with lightbulbs. Wireless sensor networks will get attention. EE Times article Top ten Embedded Internet articles for 2011 gives you links to articles that help you to catch on those topics.
Security issues were talked about lot on 2011 and I expect the discussion will continue actively during year 2012. There are still many existing security issues to fix and new issues will come up all the time.
802 Comments
Tomi Engdahl says:
Google defends drowning Acer’s newborn Alibaba Linux mobe
http://www.theregister.co.uk/2012/09/17/google_alibaba/
The phone was supposed to launch on Friday, but hours before the event Acer, the handset’s manufacturer, pulled out saying that Google had threatened to kick it out of the Android club if the launch went ahead. That was acutely embarrassing for Alibaba, and perhaps fatal for its mobile operating system, and Google’s justification won’t help either cause.
Google’s decision to prevent members of the Open Handset Alliance (the nominal owner of Android) from making Aliyun handsets leaves Alibaba in a dead end in what appears, at a glance, to be clear abuse of market power.
Google’s response is to argue that while Aliyun isn’t Android it does make use of Android frameworks and tools, and includes an Android runtime which has really upset the Googleplex:
“Aliyun uses the Android runtime, framework and tools. And your app store contains Android apps (including pirated Google apps),” says the blog posting from Andy Rubin, concluding: “If you don’t want to be compatible, then don’t expect help from OHA members.”
Tomi Engdahl says:
Now it happened then: ipv4 addresses ran out of the whole of Europe
European Internet registry maintains Ripe NCC announced on Friday that the IPv4-formatted web addresses are now practically exhausted. They are no longer available.
Only a small number of addresses are available in Ripe member operators and local registers.
Ripe comes to ration the remaining of the 16 million addresses
North America, the ipv4 addresses are calculated to end in early 2013.
The use of IPv6 is still relatively low
Source: http://www.tietoviikko.fi/kaikki_uutiset/nyt+se+sitten+kavi+ipv4osoitteet+loppuivat+koko+euroopasta/a839436?s=r&wtm=tietoviikko/-17092012&
Tabatha Kiltie says:
Yes Qian, great observation! Indeed, tourism is not the largest employer here, and what Cambodia and other developing economies tend to lack, despite all the natural attractions, is the infrastructure to support tourism. Since even the government in these countries lack resources too, the non-government organisations and international bodies can help by creating awareness and reach the grass-root levels to develop resources.
Tomi Engdahl says:
RIPE NCC handing out last European IPv4 addresses
Going, going, almost gone
http://www.theregister.co.uk/2012/09/18/ripe_ncc_last_ipv4_addresses/
Anyone who wants some more IPv4 addresses can still get them, provided they are already signed up to acquire IPv6 addresses from RIPE NCC or another internet registry. Even if an entity qualifies on those criteria, RIPE NCC will dispense only 1024 IPv4 addresses. No new IPv4 users will be granted any addresses.
Any IPv4 addresses RIPE NCC hands out will come from a reserve called the “last/8”, which has just over 17 million addresses remaining at the time of writing.
RIPE NCC maintains a small strategic reserve of IPv4 addresses to help it meet temporary demands
Tomi Engdahl says:
A lot of strain on the network smartphones can lead to serious consequences in Finland.
Finnish CEO of Finnish-American Seven Mika Uusitalo warns smartphone penetration risks.
The constantly growing mobile network loading can lead to the so-called. blackout or network crash.
The reason for the software installed on smart phones that will open and close the data connection continuously, often without the knowledge of the owner.
- The phenomenon started in the United States a few years ago, when the first iPhone was announced.
- It has been found on multi-operator networks that the end of the capacity has began.
“Operators can be surprised”
The situation is made worse when the Android-enabled smartphones have become more common. Similar problems have also been found in Europe, including the UK and the Netherlands.
Source: http://www.iltalehti.fi/digi/2012091816085143_du.shtml
Tomi Engdahl says:
Mobile phones still failing to kill people – Nordic scientists
Boffins call out hypersensitive types
http://www.theregister.co.uk/2012/09/18/mobile_safety/
Mobile phones still aren’t killing people, according to the latest research from Norway, but in contrast to previous studies the Norwegians aren’t calling for more money to fund research.
The fact that mobile phones don’t cause cancer, or other medial condition, isn’t news, but the latest study from the Norwegian Institute of Public Health is almost unique in neglecting to call for additional research funding
The research was commissioned by the Norwegian government and looked at data from the multitude of studies, but comes down to the basic principle that if phones were really dangerous then illness rates would be increasing, which they aren’t.
The report is particularly damning of hypersensitivity: the ailment which sufferers claim makes it impossible to live near electromagnetic fields:
“We have no grounds to say that the symptoms are imaginary,”
But, they emphasise, there is no scientific basis to recommend reduced exposure to electromagnetic fields.
Radio transmissions don’t make us ill
Tomi Engdahl says:
DDoS crooks: Do you want us to blitz those phone lines too?
Miscreants offer to down mobe and fixed line services for $20 a day
http://www.theregister.co.uk/2012/08/02/telecoms_ddos/
Cybercrooks are now offering to launch cyberattacks against telecom services, with prices starting at just $20 a day.
attacks on telecom lines are launched using attack scripts on compromised Asterisk (software PBX) server.
Default credentials are one of the main security weaknesses used by hackers to initially gain access to a VoIP/PBX systems prior to launching voice mail phishing scams or running SIP-based flooding attacks, say researchers.
Telecoms-focused denial of service attacks are motivated by the same sorts of motives as a DDoS on a website.
Poorly configured VoIP systems can be brought down even by something as simple as a port scan, Wilson notes.
[email protected] says:
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Tomi Engdahl says:
ZTE to Launch Smartphones Using Mozilla OS
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10000872396390444620104578005693329721704.html
The move is the latest indication that handset makers are looking beyond Google Inc.’s dominant Android mobile operating system as they try to diversify the software platforms for their smartphones and other mobile devices.
Tomi says:
Verizon CFO: ‘Unlimited’ data is just a word
Customers might reply that so is ‘cancellation’
http://www.theregister.co.uk/2012/09/21/verizon_unlimited_data_word/
Verizon Chief Financial Officer Fran Shammo has told analysts that “unlimited” when used to describe data is “just a word” and the idea of an open pipe is heading to extinction.
“What customers are understanding and through our good sales routine is once you explain to a customer their usage on a monthly basis, unlimited is just a word, it doesn’t really mean anything and that people don’t really – I think a lot of consumers think they consume a lot more data than they really do.”
According to Shammo, many customers are jettisoning unlimited plans in favor of shared data service for multiple devices.
Shifting users onto the shared plan is critical for Verizon, Shammo told the Goldman Sachs conference, because “the more data they consume the more they will have to buy up in bundles.”
The more devices users could be encouraged to connect under the plan then “I get incremental dollars for each device that’s attached and that is really what drives the future revenue growth.”
Tomi Engdahl says:
Clean IT – Leak shows plans for large-scale, undemocratic surveillance of all communications
http://www.edri.org/cleanIT
The European Commission-funded CleanIT project claims that it wants to fight terrorism through voluntary self-regulatory measures that defends the rule of law.
The proposals urge Internet companies to ban unwelcome activity through their terms of service, but advise that these “should not be very detailed”. This already widespread approach
The leaked paper also contradicts the assertion in the letter that the project “does not aim to restrict behaviour that is not forbidden by law” – the whole point of prohibiting content in terms of service that is theoretically prohibited by law, is to permit extra-judicial vigilantism by private companies, otherwise the democratically justified law would be enough. Worse, the only way for a company to be sure of banning everything that is banned by law, is to use terms that are more broad, less well defined and less predictable than real law.
CleanIT wants binding engagements from internet companies to carry out surveillance, to block and to filter (albeit only at “end user” – meaning local network – level). It wants a network of trusted online informants and, contrary to everything that they have ever said, they also want new, stricter legislation from Member States.
Tomi Engdahl says:
Iran announces plans to create isolated local internet system, fate of global access unknown
http://www.engadget.com/2012/09/23/iran-announces-plans-to-create-isolated-local-internet-system/
Iranians have been having trouble accessing YouTube, Gmail and other Google services for some time now, but their digital world may be growing even smaller — Iran announced today that it plans to shuffle citizens onto its own domestic version of the web. Reuters reports that officials plan to connect citizens to the national information network
Iran hopes to complete the transition by March of next year
cook's pest control commercial says:
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Tomi Engdahl says:
Broadband too costly in developing countries, says ITU
http://www.theregister.co.uk/2012/09/24/itu_2012_broadband_report/
In a new report that digests international broadband policies, the ITU has found that services remain too expensive in many countries.
The ITU’s Broadband Commission report has found that in 19 of the world’s least developed economies – mostly in Africa – the cost of broadband exceeds average monthly earnings.
That contrasts with the Commission’s target for entry-level broadband services to cost five percent of average earnings by 2015.
Tomi Engdahl says:
Intel Confirms Medfield x86 Chips Don’t Support LTE Yet — But Says It Won’t Be Long Coming
http://techcrunch.com/2012/09/23/intel-confirms-medfield-x86-chips-dont-support-lte-yet-but-says-it-wont-be-long-coming/
Intel’s second bite at the smartphone market has been more akin to a gentle nibbling around the edges. At the end of last year the chipmaker teased a smartphone reference design running its Medfield x86 Atom SoC. Nine months later Intel chips have found their way inside six real world smartphones, yet none apparently destined for the U.S.
The likely explanation is there’s no support for LTE in Intel’s current Medfield chips. And with 4G such a dominant force in the U.S. you need to command a brand as massive as Apple to get away with flogging LTE-less phones (the iPhone 5 being Cupertino’s only 4G phone).
The lack of LTE support in Medfield chips was confirmed to TechCrunch by Sumeet Syal, Intel’s Director of Product Marketing
He also confirmed 4G support is in the pipeline, noting that Intel will be “shipping some LTE products later this year and ramping into 2013″ – so that particular barrier to U.S. entry may soon be removed.
Syal said Intel is also readying a dual-core Atom Medfield chip. Its current Medfield chip architecture is single core, although the SoC includes a technique to boost multitasking called hyper threading which — Intel claims — allows it to out-perform some rival multicore chips.
App compatibility is another area where Intel is having to play catch up. Despite working closely with Google to optimize its chip architecture for Android, not all Android apps are compatible with Intel’s SoCs — including, in a recently flagged example, Google’s own Chrome for Android browser.
Syal said the “majority” of Android apps are compatible with Medfield chips but refused to specify an exact percentage — although Intel has previously claimed 95 per cent of apps are compatible (which was a correction of a previous Intel statement pegging Android app compatibility at just 70 per cent of apps).
Tomi Engdahl says:
Reporter David Cay Johnston was interviewed recently for his new book, which touches on why America’s Internet access is slow, expensive, and retarding economic growth. The main reason? Regulatory capture.
Why Your Phone, Cable & Internet Bills Cost So Much
http://finance.yahoo.com/blogs/daily-ticker/why-phone-cable-internet-bills-cost-much-130914030.html
The U.S. has fallen behind much of the Western world when it comes to phone, cable and Internet service. Americans actually pay much more for inferior service compared to their global counterparts.
Americans pay four times as much as the French for an Internet triple-play package—phone, cable TV and Internet—at an average of $160 per month versus $38 per month.
Americans have been told more competition would lower their phone bill. But the promise of lower prices has actually led to higher prices, says Johnston.
Not only have prices increased, phone service providers now charge fees for everything
How did this happen?
“The telecos got the rules changed while we weren’t watching,” says Johnston in the accompanying interview. Basically, the phone and cable companies lobbied Washington to change laws and regulations to favor their business over their customers.
And remember the so-called “Information Superhighway”?
Over the course of the last 20 years, nearly $500 billion has been collected by the telecom companies to (allegedly) bring America into the 21st century with an “Information Superhighway,”
But America did not get what it was promised and much of the country will never get fiber optic lines
“The companies essentially have a business model that is antithetical to economic growth,” he says. “Profits go up if they can provide slow Internet at super high prices.”
Tomi Engdahl says:
Cellphones Are Eating the Family Budget
http://online.wsj.com/article_email/SB10000872396390444083304578018731890309450-lMyQjAxMTAyMDIwNjAyODY3Wj.html
Heidi Steffen and her husband used to treat themselves most weeks to steak at Sodak Shores, a restaurant overlooking a lake near their hometown of Milbank, S.D. Then they each got an iPhone, and the rib-eyes started making fewer appearances.
More than half of all U.S. cellphone owners carry a device like the iPhone, a shift that has unsettled household budgets across the country. Government data show people have spent more on phone bills over the past four years, even as they have dialed back on dining out, clothes and entertainment—cutbacks that have been keenly felt in the restaurant, apparel and film industries.
The tug of war is only going to get more intense. Wireless carriers are betting they can pull bills even higher by offering faster speeds on expensive new networks and new usage-based data plans. The effort will test the limits of consumer spending as the draw of new technology competes with cellphone owners’ more rudimentary needs and desires.
Tomi Engdahl says:
Mobile Will Grab TV Advertising’s Crown
http://techcrunch.com/2012/09/25/mobile-will-grab-tv-advertisings-crown/
The global advertising market is big. Half a trillion dollars big in 2012.
In the tech world we tend to think of the Internet when somebody mentions advertising. But even now the Internet isn’t the biggest advertising market in the world.
The biggest advertising market in the world is television.
Even now, TV ad spend is more than twice as big as Internet ad spend and represents close to half of all ad spend in the world across all media.
First of all, people spend a lot of time watching TV. In America, the only thing people spend more time doing is sleeping and working.
Second, watching TV is a focused, immersive experience.
TV beats the web on time spent and on focus of attention (or “frequency, reach and engagement” in marketer-speak). But you know what TV doesn’t beat?
Mobile.
People are going to spend more time staring at mobile screens than television screens (and certainly more time than staring at computer screens, especially when you exclude work applications). Your smartphone is with you pretty much all the time. Smartphones are also inherently social devices, which explains the deep emotional connection people feel to them.
Using a mobile device is also a focused, immersive experience. Like watching
If these are really the dimensions that matter, why are mobile ad rates so low? This is simply an issue of time and of product and market development. The market is still illiquid and sub-scale, and great ad products haven’t had time to develop.
Tomi Engdahl says:
Pondering the future for balanced twisted-pair cabling
http://www.cablinginstall.com/index/display/article-display/8019723145/articles/cabling-installation-maintenance/news/cabling-standards/ieee/2012/september/white-paper_ponders.html
A recent white paper from CommScope takes on the current discussion within the cabling industry with regard to the future of balanced cabling for data rates beyond 10 Gbit/sec. The document notes that fiber cabling advocates are (happily) predicting the demise of balanced cabling, while some advocates of Category 7/Class F and Category 7A/Class FA balanced (twisted-pair) cabling are claiming to guarantee support for 40 Gbit/sec. The recent announcement by IEEE 802.3 approving the development of a Next Generation BASE-T (NGBASE-T) application over balanced cabling stands to reignite this discussion, asserts CommScope. The white paper attempts to predict the cabling requirements for NGBASE-T applications.
Contrarian Monthly Blog says:
Good bit
Tomi Engdahl says:
Study reveals health risks of mobile phones and wireless networks
http://www2.electronicproducts.com/Study_reveals_health_risks_of_mobile_phones_and_wireless_networks-article-fajb_health_risk_phones_sep2012-html.aspx
A report presented by a Norwegian Expert Committee has revealed the health risks of low-level electromagnetic field exposure associated with mobile phones, tablets, and other transmitting devices.
The group’s big finding? There is no scientific evidence to suggest that exposure to these waves can poses a health risk.
While there’s always an element of uncertainty to risk assessments, the Committee feels confident enough in their report to state that they consider the uncertainty here to be small. The only item still left open to debate is the effects associated with high exposure over time; that is, extensive mobile phone use over several decades. Up until now, a study like that has been impossible due to the limited time that mobile phones have been on the market.
In the end, though, what we do know is that the field strength around a mobile phone is lower when there is good coverage and that when comparing the power fields around different types of equipment, talking on a mobile phone nears the top of the list in terms of strength, while wireless internet networks are near the bottom. Also down near the bottom of the list: base stations and broadcasting transmitters.
Tomi Engdahl says:
Terabit Ethernet is Dead, for Now
http://slashdot.org/topic/datacenter/terabit-ethernet-is-dead-for-now/
A straw poll of the IEEE’s high-speed Ethernet group finds that 400-Gbits/s is almost unanimously preferred.
The IEEE 802.3 Industry Connections Higher Speed Ethernet Consensus group met this week in Geneva, Switzerland, with attendees concluding—almost to a man—that 400 Gbits/s should be the next step in the evolution of Ethernet. A straw poll at its conclusion found that 61 of the 62 attendees that voted supported 400 Gbits/s as the basis for the near term “call for interest,” or CFI.
The bandwidth call to arms was sounded by a July report by the IEEE, which concluded that, if current trends continue, networks will need to support capacity requirements of 1 terabit per second in 2015 and 10 terabits per second by 2020. In 2015 there will be nearly 15 billion fixed and mobile-networked devices and machine-to-machine connections.
The report goes on to predict that, from 2010 to 2015, global IP traffic will experience a fourfold increase from 20 exabytes per month in 2010 to 81 exabytes per month in 2015, a 32 percent CAGR. Storage growth is expected to grow to 7910 exabytes in 2015, with over half of it accessed via Ethernet. Of course, one of the first places the new, faster Ethernet links will occur will be in the data center.
Tomi Engdahl says:
Have smartphones killed boredom (and is that good)?
http://edition.cnn.com/2012/09/25/tech/mobile/oms-smartphones-boredom/index.html
Take a look around today at people in line at Starbucks, on the train platform or waiting for their bags at the airport.
Odds are, a huge chunk of them are staring down into a glowing mobile device — passing time by checking on friends, catching up on texts or e-mail or playing a video game that would have required a PC or home console just a few years ago.
Thanks to technology, there’s been a recent sea change in how people today kill time. Those dog-eared magazines in your doctor’s office are going unread. Your fellow customers in line at the deli counter are being ignored. And simply gazing around at one’s surroundings? Forget about it.
Between smartphones, tablets and e-readers, we’re becoming a society that’s ready to kill even a few seconds of boredom with a tap on a touchscreen.
And 42% of all mobile phone users say they expressly use their phone for entertainment when they’re bored.
“Even when I’m driving, I might have Facebook open,”
Researchers say this all makes sense. Fiddling with our phones, they say, addresses a basic human need to cure boredom by any means necessary.
“Smartphones are like cigarettes are like junk food are like chewing your nails or doodling …,” Lynn wrote in a May essay for the Evolutionary Studies Consortium. “Does the naked space of your own mind and the world around you send you screaming into oblivion when you walk across campus, across a street even? Pull out your smartphone and check your email again — that car will swerve around you.”
With their games, music, videos, social media and texting, smartphones “superstimulate” a desire humans have to play when things get dull, Lynn told CNN in an interview. And he believes that modern society may be making that desire even stronger.
“When you’re habituated to constant stimulation, when you lack it, you sort of don’t know what to do with yourself …,” he said. “When we aren’t used to having down time, it results in anxiety. ‘Oh my god, I should be doing something.’ And we reach for the smartphone. It’s our omnipresent relief from that.”
Tomi Engdahl says:
Dish Network launches nationwide satellite broadband service with ViaSat, Hughes, calls it dishNET
http://www.engadget.com/2012/09/27/dish-network-dishnet/
$40 a month gets you 5 Mbps down / 1Mbps up with a 10GB data cap
Tomi Engdahl says:
WTF is… NFC
Not For Consumers?
http://www.reghardware.com/2012/09/28/feature_wtf_is_near_field_communications_nfc/
Near Field Communications (NFC) has been around for almost a decade, but only recently become a smartphone feature because, simply, no one knows what it’s for.
Not that NFC is short of applications, but its broad utility makes it hard to pin its ideal usage model down. When Nokia, Philips and Sony first proposed the short-range radio standard back in 2004 the three companies clearly had their eyes on ticketing and electronic currencies. Since then the technology’s capabilities have broadened to the point where NFC can do just about anything.
The NFC Forum, owner of the standard we know as “NFC” insists that it does not own the term, arguing that the abbreviation is too generic to enshrine as a trademark
Unlike RFID (Radio Frequency Identification) tags, which are powered up by the received radio signal, and can thus be read at extreme ranges by upping transmitted power, NFC devices are powered using an induction coil with a very limited range – a few centimetres at most. But the additional power provided can be used for other things, such as updating an e-ink screen, or – more commonly – performing some serious cryptography.
That encryption makes NFC suitable for payment cards, and the tech is already embedded in millions of UK credit cards for pay-by-pat functionality, though despite the wide scale deployment shoppers are still reluctant to embrace the technology.
Tomi Engdahl says:
Alibaba pushes on with mobile OS plans despite Android setback
http://www.theregister.co.uk/2012/09/28/alibaba_aliyun_google_mobile_os/
Chinese web giant Alibaba is pushing ahead with plans to get its mobile operating system Aliyun onto more handsets in the country despite a recent clash with Google which saw Acer forced to pull a new handset based on the OS.
Alibaba has high hopes for Aliyun
“As part of Aliyun’s existing plan to build up its ecosystem, we are in talks with a number of handset makers interested in adopting the Aliyun OS; we are not prepared to comment further at this time,”
The Chocolate Factory complained that Aliyun was actually an incompatible version of Android and that Acer, and all members of the Open Handset Alliance, are therefore banned from supporting it.
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Tomi Engdahl says:
FREE mobile data – if you dance for our advertisers, monkeyboy
A good reason to read the small print, especially FreedomPop’s
http://www.theregister.co.uk/2012/10/01/freedompop/
FreedomPop launches Monday, offering free mobile data across the US to those who have WiMAX coverage and don’t look too closely at the small print.
The headline promise is clear enough: “100% free high speed internet – any device, anywhere”, and the name of Skype co-founder Niklas Zennstrom lends the project credibility, but read the small print and you’ll realise that it only applies to devices you buy from FreedomPop, and if you want more than 500MB you’ll have to earn it.
Talking to The Wall Street Journal FreedomPop explained that it intends to make money by selling premium services, such as priority access, but the terms and conditions show that monthly fees and data rates will apply to most users, and anyone wanting a freebie will have to earn it “by performing specified actions with our third-party advertisers (eg, completing a questionnaire or purchasing a product or service)”, so in most cases we’re talking about a cheap service, not a free one.
At one point FreedomPop was signed with LightSquared, the audacious, and ultimately futile, attempt to launch a new mobile network using frequencies previously reserved for satellite comms, but when that started to go pear-shaped, FreedomPop was among the first to jump ship.
FreedomPop is basically lowering the cost of data by using every trick in the book to bring down the cost while keeping the service viable – use less than 5MB in a month, for example, and you’ll get charged a dollar in “Active Status fee”, which will no doubt catch a few people out.
Tomi Engdahl says:
Report: Mobile data to cost enterprises $100 per user per month
http://www.cablinginstall.com/articles/2012/09/mobile-data-cost-enterprise-100-per-month.html
An article by Dan Rowinski on ReadWriteWeb/Mobile explains, and shows, why projections call for mobile-data usage by employees to cost enterprises a little more than $100 per month, per user in 2015. While the cost-per-Megabyte of mobile data is falling steadily, use is rising so sharply that the per-month-per-user cost to enterprises will more than triple from 2012′s $31.25 to 2015′s $101.72, according to the report.
“As mobile usage explodes, having an intelligent, holistic plan to manage costs, devices and usage is going to be an absolute imperative for successful companies,”
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Tomi Engdahl says:
Wearable sensor devices leverage MEMS motion tracking innovations
http://www.eetimes.com/design/medical-design/4397350/Wearable-sensor-devices-to-leverage-MEMS-motion-tracking-innovations
With each passing day, the smart phone becomes an increasingly indispensible part of our lives. Some of us, either intentionally or unintentionally, feel comfortable leaving the house without our keys, wallet, watch, PC, camera or other items. But the smart phone, almost unconsciously, has become our proverbial security blanket, the one personal item we won’t leave behind. Why is this?
Well, certainly, voice communication is one factor. It is a phone after all.
But, I would argue, access to unlimited amounts of data has quickly become the dominant factor. Whether for turn-by-turn navigation to our destination, information about the closest coffee house, updates from friends in our social networks, or streaming music from our favorite cloud service, we have become addicted to data.
This need for constant access to data is quickly spilling over into a new breed of electronic devices generically referred to as wearable sensors that can provide us real time data and feedback about our activity levels and performance. IMS Research predicts the market for wearable sensing devices will grow to over 170 million units annually by 2016.
Examples of this new breed of wearable sensors including Nike’s FuelBand, Adidas’ miCoach, and Fitbit are building on the foundation of traditional sport watch products from the likes of Polar and Garmin to include connectivity and data streaming to smart phones which enable advanced real time data processing and social sharing of recent accomplishments to friends and family over the network.
Tomi Engdahl says:
Jolla has teamed up with other parties a new Meego alliance in Hong Kong. Jolla’s new coalition Sailfish platform is based on open source systems such as Qt and Merino Core. The new alliance will license the platform in addition to mobile phones, cars and tablets. New licensed Sailfish platform will be announced in spring 2013.
Jolla’s President and CEO Jussi Hurmola believes that China is changing the entire mobile phone industry. ”The next change in the mobile industry will come from China, and we want to be involved in it,” says CEO Jussi Hurmola Jolla. In addition to mobile phones, cars start expanding and tablets.
Source: http://www.3t.fi/artikkeli/uutiset/teknologia/jollan_meegosta_tulee_sailfish
Tomi Engdahl says:
Net Threat: The Dangers From Global Web Regulation
http://www.forbes.com/sites/ciocentral/2012/10/02/net-threat-the-dangers-from-global-web-regulation/
A grave threat to the Internet as we know it has emerged as part of well-intentioned, but fatally flawed proposals to update an international telecommunications treaty. If these radical changes are adopted, the results could be devastating. It could break the global Internet into unconnected islands of national or regional networks, extend telecommunications regulations to computing, or lead to onerous government regulation of the Internet.
The story goes back to 1984, when there were approximately eight wired telephones installed for every 100 people on the planet
Nearly 30 years later, there are only slightly more than twice the penetration of wired telephone lines, 17 per 100 people.
The astonishing achievement, however, is that while there were practically no mobile or Internet connections in 1984, globally there are now 86 mobile telephones, 33 Internet users and 24 broadband subscriptions (fixed and mobile) per every 100 people.
What may be a surprise is that this huge growth in communications – mobile and Internet – occurred largely outside of traditional telecommunications regulation and out of the focus of a 1988 ITU international treaty, the International Telecommunications Regulations (ITRs).
The fact that the Internet developed outside of traditional telecommunications regulation is no accident. Rather it was the conscious decision of countries that fostered the Internet’s early development.
The Internet has transformed the way we work, learn, play and communicate with one another, independent of place and distance. Entire new industries have been created, existing industries are being transformed, governments are providing their citizens better and new services and people are engaging with each other, and their governments, all enabled by an open global Internet.
In short, the Internet has become the key innovation engine of the 21st century economy.
But this growth and innovation is at risk. There are some who want to use the review of the 1988 ITRs in December at the World Conference on International Telecommunications (WCIT) as an excuse to impose legacy telecommunications regulation on the Internet and Internet Protocol networks and services.
Some proposals for the WCIT would control the routing of Internet traffic in the name of security but would balkanize the Internet and threaten Internet freedom. Other proposals would radically redefine telecommunications to encompass computing.
This is not to say that the growth of the Internet has not raised important questions and challenges, as well as opportunities, for governments, individuals, traditional companies and their business models, and industry. However, the way we answer these questions and challenges should not be an extension of the ITU’s old rules that were written at a time when most of the world’s telecom companies were subsidiaries of government departments, often the post office. Extending an ancient regulatory model designed for another time to the rapidly evolving Internet would stifle innovation and investment.
Tomi Engdahl says:
The Internet of Things Starts at the Smart Home
http://rtcmagazine.com/articles/view/102735
The smart and energy-efficient home, monitored and controlled by one central application on your smartphone, will finally become a reality and introduce a connected ecosystem for everyday living.
More applications for smartphones are becoming available every day, making the smartphone a centerpiece of communication for the future smart, connected home. Some of these applications intend to “check and control things at home,” like temperature control as in changing the setting of the thermostat, security—making sure that doors are locked—or energy management like lighting controls. However, in spite of the longstanding promise of the home of the future, many of the electric devices at home still live on isolated islands, disconnected from the Internet and unable to connect to each other.
But, this is rapidly changing! More and more home devices are equipped with networking capabilities like Wi-Fi and ZigBee, allowing them to connect to the Internet via a set-top box and/or a home router. The recent arrival of IPv6, which is replacing IPv4, has solved the bottleneck that existed because there were not enough web “addresses” available, marking the transition from “The Internet of People” to “The Internet of Things.” Once connected to the Internet, all these devices can be reached with any mobile web device or smartphone from anywhere in the world
Tomi Engdahl says:
NetFlow Analysis Helps Understand and Protect Distributed Networks
http://rtcmagazine.com/articles/view/102768
The ability to collect and analyze metadata on network traffic is helping administrators achieve better security as well as understand how their networks are performing so that they can maximize efficiency.
What’s going on with your network? No, what’s really going on?
An existing but not yet fully appreciated technology called NetFlow, originally developed by Cisco, can be used to collect data about network traffic and subject it to analysis for network administrators and security personnel to better monitor and understand network traffic.
NetFlow consists of metadata about network traffic that is generated by routers and switches that support it and on which it has been enabled. The routers export the NetFlow data in small messages using UDP, and it can then be collected and stored by means of a NetFlow collector and then subjected to analysis using various tools.
Most of the newer routers and switches support NetFlow. NetFlow records contain, among other information, source and destination IP addresses, source and destination port IDs, start and stop times, and the number of packets and bytes. Some of the newer versions also report things like user IDs. NetFlow takes place in the background so that users are unaware of it.
One example of the kinds of collection and analysis tools is the Scrutinizer product from Plixer.
Dozens of NetFlow collectors can be distributed and used to analyze enterprise wide traffic from a central location across thousands of interfaces if need be.
A number of flow analytic algorithms are supplied to help detect malicious traffic patterns such as network scans and unwanted protocols. In addition, the user can set up their own algorithms to look for security problems.
Tomi Engdahl says:
China’s Huawei Considers an IPO
http://online.wsj.com/article_email/SB10000872396390443493304578036860213855012-lMyQjAxMTAyMDAwNDAwODQ3Wj.html
Chinese telecommunications giant Huawei Technologies Co. has reached out to investment banks for advice on issuing stock to the public, people familiar with the outreach said, as the company considers ways to make itself more transparent and improve its odds of winning big contracts in markets like the U.S.
The conversations with banks involve advice on how and where the telecom-equipment maker might list its stock and the types of disclosures it would have to make to facilitate such a step, the people said. The company hasn’t made a decision to proceed with an IPO or chosen a bank to handle such a transaction, the people said.
Huawei and ZTE Corp., another Chinese telecom supplier, are currently being examined by the U.S. House intelligence committee, which launched a probe last fall to review the threat posed to U.S. national security by Chinese telecom companies. The committee is expected to finish its probe and issue a report Monday.
Tomi Engdahl says:
The Coming Internet Video Crash
http://tech.slashdot.org/story/12/10/05/2116251/the-coming-internet-video-crash
“First, it was data caps on cellular, and now caps on wired broadband — welcome to the end of the rich Internet, writes Galen Gruman. ‘People are still getting used to the notion that unlimited data plans are dead and gone for their smartphones.”
“Now, we’re beginning to see the eradication of the unlimited data plan in our broadband lines, such as cable and DSL connections.
“It’s a dangerous trend that will threaten the budding Internet-based video business”
“The result will be a metered Internet that discourages use of the services so valuable for work and play.’”
Tomi Engdahl says:
The coming Internet video crash
First, it was data caps on cellular, and now caps on wired broadband — welcome to the end of the rich Internet
http://www.infoworld.com/d/consumerization-of-it/the-coming-internet-video-crash-203876
It’s a dangerous trend that will threaten the budding Internet-based video business — whether from Netflix, Hulu, iTunes, Windows Store, or Google Play — then jeopardize Internet services of all sorts.
It’s a complex issue, and though the villains are obvious — the telecom carriers and cable providers — the solutions are not. The result will be a metered Internet that discourages use of the services so valuable for work and play.
I also knew that, for the carriers, bandwidth scarcity was an excuse to meter services and, in essence, raise the price of cellular connectivity, as well as favor their own services over those of other providers
Tomi says:
Goodbye to Internet as we know it if the European proposals get through? Hopefully not.
US Ambassador Hits Out At EU Telcos’ Proposals to Change Rules on Voice and Data Traffic
http://www.cio.com/article/717823/US_Ambassador_Hits_Out_At_EU_Telcos_39_Proposals_to_Change_Rules_on_Voice_and_Data_Traffic
The US will not support changes to international telecommunications rules proposed by European telcos at a conference in December
The European Telecommunications Network Operators’ Association (ETNO) has proposed changes to the rules in order to make the sending party network pays. It believes this change is necessary because content providers or over-the-top (OTT) services (so called because they run over the top of telecommunications operators’ networks) are responsible for the vast amount of Internet traffic.
However, speaking at the ETNO Summit on Tuesday, Ambassador William Kennard said categorically, “The U.S. will oppose efforts to amend the ITRs.” He said that this decision had been a unanimous one, not only within government and the U.S. administration, but also with civil society and U.S. businesses.
“We believe that the current system has worked well in the past and will work in the future. As we say in the U.S., if it’s not broken don’t fix it. Part of our position is based on the fact that we don’t see how the ETNO proposal can work. We think it opens the door to a new approach to terminating traffic on the internet that is simply unworkable,” he said.
ETNO argues that OTT services are getting a “free lunch” over their networks, but are not contributing to network investment.
Kennard also criticized the role of the International Telecommunication Union, the U.N. body responsible for the treaty, saying “compensation systems on the Internet are complex and it is not appropriate for a treaty-based organization to manage them.”
Tomi Engdahl says:
How phones are ‘optimized,’ and why you should care (Smartphones Unlocked)
Irritating things can happen when phones and networks aren’t perfectly in sync. Here’s how the two keep that from happening.
Read more: http://www.cnet.com/8301-17918_1-57527428-85/how-phones-are-optimized-and-why-you-should-care-smartphones-unlocked/#ixzz28hJmry40
Tomi Engdahl says:
Kaspersky adds mugshot feature to Mobile Security software
http://www.theinquirer.net/inquirer/news/2215093/kasperky-adds-mugshot-feature-to-mobile-secuirty-software
SECURITY FIRM Kaspersky has updated its Android mobile security software today with a “Mugshot” feature to help users to identify phone thieves by taking photos of the user via a front-facing camera.
Activated via the software’s Web Management interface, photos taken of the thieves are uploaded to a portal where the smartphone owner can view them.
Kaspersky said it also remains possible to control the device remotely via special SMS based commands, along with the SIM Watch function that offers an alternative method of remote control.
Tomi Engdahl says:
Chinese telephone and telecommunications equipment manufacturers Huawei and ZTE pose a risk to U.S. national security, because the devices can be used for Chinese American espionage. This is revealed congressional investigations, says finance magazine, The Wall Street Journal.
In addition, the Committee recommends that the U.S. administration to avoid the use of devices made by companies and attempts to find an alternative.
- We simply can not make such critical systems for companies with well-known ties to the Chinese state
Source: http://www.itviikko.fi/uutiset/2012/10/08/isku-huaweille-ja-ztelle–usa-torjuu-laitekaupat/201239394/7?rss=8
Tomi Engdahl says:
Taiwan’s HTC third-quarter net falls 79 percent, lags forecasts
http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/10/08/us-htc-earnings-idUSBRE89707G20121008
Taiwan’s HTC Corp, the world’s fifth-largest smartphone maker, said its third-quarter net profit fell 79 percent, missing forecasts, as its flagship phones failed to keep pace with Apple Inc’s iPhone and Samsung Electronics Co Ltd’s Galaxy range.
The former contract maker has been suffering a sharp decline in its fortunes since the second half of 2011 following a fairytale ride when it built a strong global brand with phones based on Google Inc’s Android software.
Tomi Engdahl says:
4G LTE deployments stall
http://www.cablinginstall.com/articles/2012/10/4g-lte-stalls.html
Key deployments of TD-LTE systems, the backbone of 3G and burgeoning 4G mobile technologies, have recently stalled, both globally and nationally.
In the U.S., the 4G mobile network carrier Clearwire has announced that it may deploy portions of its latest TD-LTE network build. As reported by CED Magazine, the company is delaying the roll-out of 5,000 TD-LTE cell sites for a network
Across the oceans, the government of India is also reportedly planning to stall major TD-LTE deployments till 2014
The report cites analysis from TBR saying that “for the remainder of 2012, activity in Asia Pacific region will slow as Japan and South Korea complete their initial LTE builds and China and India stall TD-LTE deployment until at least 2014 due to a variety of political factors.”
Parks Associates contends that the Asia Pacific region will lead the 4G LTE market by 2016, with largest gains in South Korea and Japan; and that the Asia and Pacific region will eventually overtake North America in number of 4G/LTE subscribers, with more than 53 percent of 4G/LTE subscribers. Globally, the total number of subscribers to the technology is projected to be over 560 million by 2016.
Tomi Engdahl says:
New fiber-optic cable deployment technology heads to auction
http://www.cablinginstall.com/articles/2012/10/fiber-deployment-technology-auction.html
ICAP Patent Brokerage has announced for auction two Australian patents and two pending applications for deployment techniques of fiber-optic communications cables using existing waste water pipe infrastructure.
“This innovative fiber-optic cable installation technology will result in a huge cost savings compared with traditional methods of installation,”
According to a press release, the IP [intellectual property] portfolio up for bid includes techniques for using waste water pipe infrastructure for the deployment of fiber-optic broadband communications cables.
For example, cables can be installed in one to two days rather than four to six weeks using traditional digging methods.
The combined reductions in the cost of fiber-optic cable deployment are estimated to be as high as 70%.
Tomi Engdahl says:
The embedded market is in a significant evolutionary phase towards a brand new “Intelligent Systems” era. According to IDC research, the number of systems and devices worldwide will reach as many as 25 billion units by 2020.
Intelligent systems are already being broadly deployed across many vertical markets such as transportation, video, machine automation and digital signage. This all contributes to the rising volumes of data traffic, where media-rich applications and data center consolidation are now driving the need for increased bandwidth scalability and high-speed connectivity.
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Tomi says:
Nokia launches portable solar charger in Kenya
http://www.capitalfm.co.ke/business/2012/10/nokia-launches-portable-solar-charger-in-kenya/
Nokia has announced the availability of a new portable solar charger in Kenya aimed specifically at the eighty percent of Kenyans without regular access to electricity.
Nokia Portable Solar Charger, DC-40, which will be retailing at Sh1,250, (around 11 Euros) is being marketed by Nokia to test the viability of solar charging as an alternative mobile phone charging system in Africa.
he technical solution is a thin film panel, measuring 165mm x 237mm with a long cable and 2mm Nokia plug interface.
with one minute of charging, consumers will be able to get approximately two minutes of talk time.
The solar charger is most efficient when used in direct sunlight where the average charging time for full charge on a 1000mAh battery would be under four hours.
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Tomi Engdahl says:
Want to know what 5G mobile is? Ask this British university
In a bit, when they’ve worked it out themselves
http://www.theregister.co.uk/2012/10/10/surrey_5g/
Surrey University has scored £11.6m in government cash, and £24m from the industry, to fund the development of next-generation telecoms in a shiny new 5G Innovation Centre.
4G is nebulous enough, with American networks applying it to HSDPA, while in Europe we won’t even call EDGE a “3G” technology despite it failing into that definition. The ITU, usual custodian of such things, gave up last year and said anyone should be free to use the term “4G” as they wish, recanting its earlier insistence on speeds topping 100Mb/sec.
Realistically, 4G will be the last generational shift noticed by customers, so 5G is unlikely ever to be known by that name.
The other problem is that LTE, the 4G technology of choice, is about as efficient as it can get: fitting more signals into the same frequency band just isn’t possible.
LTE isn’t much more spectrally efficient than HSDPA+, but it is more flexible in being able to grab a bigger (or smaller) slice of spectrum as needed. LTE Advanced will be able to grab non-contiguous blocks of spectrum and combine them to achieve greater speeds, but not by squeezing more into the same space.
But that makes 5G even more interesting, as the focus could be on mesh networks (handsets relaying signals), dynamic spectrum allocation (as used by White Space networks) and inter-technology roaming … why, we might even see IPv6 integrated properly by 2022; which is when we should expect 5G to happen based on the ten-year cycle.
Tomi Engdahl says:
Huawei faces exclusion from planned Canada govt network
http://in.reuters.com/article/2012/10/10/usa-china-huawei-canada-idINDEE8980EO20121010
(Reuters) – Canada indicated strongly on Tuesday it would exclude Chinese telecom equipment giant Huawei Technologies Co Ltd from helping to build a secure Canadian government communications network because of possible security risks.