Tech trends 2023

Here is collection of some predictions for year 2023. This is a collection of links to prediction articles followed by a short quote or quotes of what I see the main points in them.

Ennuste vuodelle 2023: Ongelmat helpottavat

“After a couple of exceptional years, the electronics market, challenged by the pandemic and pent-up demand, has signs of a calmer ride on the horizon. Mouser’s Mark Burr-Lonnon predicts slower, but more predictable growth”
“According to World Semiconductor Trade Statistics, the global semiconductor market will grow by 13.9 percent in 2022 and continue to grow by 4.6 percent in 2023. While these statistics show that global demand for semiconductors is slowing, they still show steady growth in all key regions of the world as the electronics industry begins to settle into a more manageable state of equilibrium.”

AMD, Intel, and Nvidia Reportedly Slash Orders with TSMC

“Large customers revise orders to TSMC due to the economy slowdown.”
“According to the report, virtually all TSMC clients will experience a downturn and have to cut orders, so TSMC’s utilization will decline significantly in Q1 2023. For example, the utilization rate of TSMC’s N7-capable lines (7nm, 6nm-class technologies) will decline to around 50% in early 2023. Furthermore, even TSMC’s N5/N4-capable lines will be underutilized”

Tech That Will Change Your Life in 2023

“Big layoffs at Meta, Amazon, Snap and others? A global crypto fraud set in the Bahamas? Elon Musk buying and running Twitter? Look, not even Nostradamus could have seen all that coming.”
“The Metaverse, Now More Than Just Meta. For the last two years, we’ve said this is the year for virtual and augmented reality. But in 2023 we’re confident: headsets that give you a choice of VR (where you’re in a virtual world) and AR (where the virtual is overlaid in your real world) are coming. And they won’t just be from Meta, current holder of 90% of the VR market, according to research firm IDC.”
“Tech companies and their investors are grappling with the industry’s biggest downturn since at least 2008. The result is layoffs and hiring freezes at companies large and small. The PC and chip industries in particular have been clobbered by the biggest drop in sales in more than two decades. And while many survivors of past tech downturns preach that cuts should be deep, fast and early, it appears that the pain for tech workers will continue into 2023.”
“Account moochers, beware: The Netflix password crackdown is coming in early 2023. Netflix is the first streamer with an enforcement policy.”
“China and the U.S. are so interdependent—for manufacturing of smartphones and other electronics, for EV batteries and solar panels, for raw materials and intellectual property—it seems impossible they could go their separate ways with their own parallel supply chains and production bases. Yet it’s happening.”
“Artificial Intelligence Finds Real Use”
“Smart Home Gets Easier-ish”
“European Union legislation is changing Apple’s smartphones.”

Digipelaaminen ja e-pelimediat entistä suositumpia – kännykkäpelaaminen ei kasva enää

“Digital gaming and the consumption of game-related media content is increasingly popular, according to the Gamer Barometer 2022 study conducted at the University of Tampere. An increasing proportion of Finns play digital games at least occasionally, but the number of active mobile players is no longer growing at the previous pace.
Active mobile gaming has for the first time in the history of Gamer Barometers turned into a slight decrease, but still 59 percent of Finns still occasionally play mobile games.”

Xiaomin uusin sisältää tekniikkaa, jota ei ole vielä edes standardoitu

“Wi-Fi 7 support is of course interesting, when the IEEE standard is apparently not being completed until around 2024. Next year, however, a number of Wi-Fi 7-compatible smartphones will be introduced to the market. Xiaomi’s 13 Pro will probably be the first of them. Its arrival in Finland and prices will be revealed later.”

The tech IPO market collapsed in 2022, and next year doesn’t look much better

3 views: Predicting 2023’s key startup themes

“Anna Heim: The rise of API-first startups will continue in 2023
I am convinced that API-first will be a major trend in 2023, with this approach being both more widespread than it was previously, as well as more successful than less API-heavy options.
That APIs are on the rise isn’t exactly new — but API-first startups are a subgroup in this world, and one that is enjoying tailwinds.”

C++ meni Javan ohi

“The software company Tiobe measures the popularity of programming languages with its famous index, which measures search engine searches. Changes on the list happen slowly, but in December something happened right at the top of the list. C++ became the third most popular language over Java.”
“It’s not a trivial change, as C++ overtook Java for the first time in history. The top of the list is unchanged. Python and C are clearly in a class of their own.”

Sanna Marin: EU:n pitää katkaista teknologinen riippuvuus Kiinasta

“In an interview with Slush CEO Eerika Savolainen, Marin demanded that Europe break its technological dependence on China.
- We cannot depend on China. Economic relations should not be severed, but we cannot be in a position where an authoritarian country operating with a different logic is able to blackmail us, Marin said.
- I am afraid that we will make the same mistake with technology and digitality as with energy. We thought that a close economic relationship would prevent war, but we were wrong.”

Kyberturvan ammattilaisista on huutava pula

“There is an acute shortage of cyber security professionals. There is an estimated global shortage of three million professionals.”

Innovators 2023
These are some of the innovators and leaders in the electronics technology space.

Ennuste vuodelle 2023: Ongelmat helpottavat

“the demand for smarter and more networked products and systems has also spread to business-to-business sectors, where digitization and the emergence of the fourth industrial revolution have begun to take over the sector. For example, in manufacturing, the Industrial Internet of Things (IIoT), characterized by interconnected sensors, communication/data transfer, and advanced data analytics, has transformed the efficiency of production processes in the factory. The IIoT depends on highly advanced integrated circuits that provide intelligence for sensing, measurement and monitoring, power management, control and communication.”

1,139 Comments

  1. Tomi Engdahl says:

    Applen uusin prosessori on 92 miljardin transistorin jätti
    https://etn.fi/index.php/13-news/15498-applen-uusin-prosessori-on-92-miljardin-transistorin-jaetti

    Apple on julkistanut uudet prosessorinsa iMac- ja Macbook Pro -työasemiinsa. Kolmannen polven M3-suorittimet näyttävät, miten pitkälle Apple on päässyt oman Arm-pohjaisen prosessoriarkkitehtuurinsa kanssa. Uusin M3 Max on massiivinen 92 miljardin transistorin jättipiiri.

    Apple esitteli ensimmäiset omat prosessorinsa tietokoneisiin kolme vuotta sitten. Näihin M1-sarjan suorittimiin verrattuna M3-prosessorit tekevät isoja hyppäyksiä eteenpäin. Kolmen nanometrin prosessissa valmistetut suorittimet esimerkiksi renderöivät grafiikkaa 2,5-kertaisella teholla ensimmäisen polven M1-siruihin verrattuna.

    Reply
  2. Tomi Engdahl says:

    Qualcomm’s satellite texting plan is dead because phone makers aren’t interested
    Its Snapdragon Satellite partner, Iridium, is now free to work with OEMs and other chipmakers directly.
    https://www.engadget.com/qualcomms-satellite-texting-plan-is-dead-because-phone-makers-arent-interested-204331091.html

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  3. Tomi Engdahl says:

    Microsoft Introduces Data Formulator: A Concept-Driven Visualization Authoring Tool that Leverages an Artificial Intelligence AI Agent to Address the Data Transformation Challenge in Visualization Authoring
    https://www.marktechpost.com/2023/11/05/microsoft-introduces-data-formulator-a-concept-driven-visualization-authoring-tool-that-leverages-an-artificial-intelligence-ai-agent-to-address-the-data-transformation-challenge-in-visualization-aut/

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  4. Tomi Engdahl says:

    Sales bonanza at ASML as China stockpiles chipmaking kit
    Dutch exports skyrocket thanks to Washington restrictions
    https://www.theregister.com/2023/11/08/china_stockpiling_asml_kit/

    China is hurrying to buy as much chipmaking equipment as it can before further export restrictions shut off supply, boosting the country’s imports from the Netherlands, home to photolithography maker ASML.

    The US Department of Commerce issued updated restrictions last month on the export of advanced chips and chipmaking equipment to China.

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  5. Tomi Engdahl says:

    They couldn’t get enough control over your devices and home entertainment, so they’re dumping android for their own closed sourced junk.

    Amazon Is Dropping Android for ‘Vega’ Smart Device Operating System
    Goodbye Android, hello Fire TV sticks running ‘Vega.’
    https://uk.pcmag.com/operating-systems/149579/amazon-is-dropping-android-for-vega-smart-device-operating-system

    Amazon is planning to stop using Android on its entire range of own-brand smart devices, moving instead to a new operating system (OS) developed internally.

    As Lowpass reports, Amazon has had hundreds of people working on its own OS since 2017 and refers to it internally as “Vega.” Development of Vega is thought to be almost complete, with the focus now turning to providing app developers with a robust SDK in a bid to entice them to support Vega alongside their Android and iOS builds.

    Vega is built on top of Linux and uses React Native as an application framework. As React Native also supports app development on Android, iOS, and a range of smart TVs, Amazon is offering an easy way for developers to create new apps for Vega hardware while also allowing them to run on older devices and the hardware of other smart device manufacturers.

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  6. Tomi Engdahl says:

    Verkkokaupan maailmassa B2B-maksaminen on noussut isoksi puheenaiheeksi. B2B-verkkokauppa on volyymiltaan lähes kaksinkertainen kuluttajakauppaan verrattuna ja kattaa 62 % Suomen verkkokaupasta. Lue tästä ja muista NextUP -tapahtuman nostoista: https://www.paytrail.com/blog/milta-nayttaa-maksamisen-tulevaisuus

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  7. Tomi Engdahl says:

    After earning $544 million in its most recent quarter, Unity says even more layoffs are ‘likely’
    By Andy Chalk published about 21 hours ago
    The new CEO says the company needs to be “leaner [and] more agile,” and you know what that means.
    https://www.pcgamer.com/after-earning-dollar544-million-in-its-most-recent-quarter-unity-says-even-more-layoffs-are-likely/?utm_source=facebook.com&utm_campaign=socialflow&utm_medium=social&fbclid=IwAR1LSlLv9LA382sVLYEYpJ3G2_oFw7zDv-GN7JMYy81Am-nF0mlbsxkvmKs

    It looks like game engine maker Unity is going to be laying off even more employees. Six months after putting 600 people out of work in the year’s third round of layoffs and announcing plans to close half its offices worldwide, the company said in its most recent quarterly financial report that despite a 69% year-over-year increase in revenue in its third quarter, it’s still bleeding money, and more people will probably have to go.

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  8. Tomi Engdahl says:

    Kuluttaja-lehti: Apple joutui mustalle listalle – suositellaan välttämään https://www.is.fi/digitoday/art-2000009989743.html

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  9. Tomi Engdahl says:

    Chance Miller / 9to5Mac:
    Apple plans to adopt the GSM’s RCS messaging standard by releasing a software update “later next year”, bringing iMessage-style features to cross-platform texts — In a surprising move, Apple has announced today that it will adopt the RCS (Rich Communication Services) messaging standard.

    Apple announces that RCS support is coming to iPhone next year
    https://9to5mac.com/2023/11/16/apple-rcs-coming-to-iphone/

    In a surprising move, Apple has announced today that it will adopt the RCS (Rich Communication Services) messaging standard. The feature will launch via a software update “later next year” and bring a wide range of iMessage-style features to messaging between iPhone and Android users.

    Apple’s decision comes amid pressure from regulators and competitors like Google and Samsung. It also comes as RCS has continued to develop and become a more mature platform than it once was.

    RCS brings iMessage-style features to cross-platform texts

    In a statement to 9to5Mac, an Apple spokesperson said that the company believes RCS will offer better interoperability for cross-platform messages.

    Later next year, we will be adding support for RCS Universal Profile, the standard as currently published by the GSM Association. We believe RCS Universal Profile will offer a better interoperability experience when compared to SMS or MMS. This will work alongside iMessage, which will continue to be the best and most secure messaging experience for Apple users.

    RCS brings many iMessage-style features to cross-platform messaging between iPhone and Android devices. This includes things like read receipts, typing indicators, high-quality images and videos, and more.

    Reply
  10. Tomi Engdahl says:

    Chance Miller / 9to5Mac:
    Apple says green bubbles will be used for RCS messages, while iMessages will be blue to denote what it considers the safest way for iPhone users to communicate — Earlier today, Apple announced its plans to bring RCS support to the iPhone in 2024. Since I published my story on the news this morning …

    What color bubbles will RCS messages be? Apple confirms the answer
    https://9to5mac.com/2023/11/16/apple-confirms-rcs-messages-will-have-green-bubbles/

    Earlier today, Apple announced its plans to bring RCS support to the iPhone in 2024. Since I published my story on the news this morning, there’s one thing everyone wants to know: is the blue bubbles vs green bubbles debate coming to an end?

    I’m happy to say I now have an official answer: nope. RCS will use green bubbles just like SMS.
    More details on iPhone’s RCS features

    RCS (Rich Communication Services) will bring a number of iMessage-style features to texts between Android and iPhone users. This includes things such as read receipts, typing indicators, and higher-quality images and videos.

    The one thing that won’t be changing, however, is the color of the messaging bubbles.

    https://9to5mac.com/2023/11/16/apple-rcs-coming-to-iphone/

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  11. Tomi Engdahl says:

    Mark Gurman / Bloomberg:
    Sources: Apple may again postpone releasing its own iPhone modem chip, until at least late 2025 or early 2026, the final year of its extended Qualcomm contract — Company will likely miss a 2025 goal to roll out its own cellular modem inside the device — Apple Inc. has fallen further behind …

    Apple’s Effort to Replace Qualcomm Chip in iPhone Falls Further Behind
    Company will likely miss a 2025 goal to roll out its own cellular modem inside the device
    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-11-16/apple-project-to-replace-modems-made-by-qualcomm-falls-further-behind-to-2026

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  12. Tomi Engdahl says:

    Andy Greenberg / Wired:
    In a first, the Signal Foundation publishes Signal’s operating costs: ~$40M in 2023, projected to hit $50M by 2025, with $14M for infrastructure costs in 2023 — Signal’s president reveals the cost of running the privacy-preserving platform—not just to drum up donations …

    Running Signal Will Soon Cost $50 Million a Year
    Signal’s president reveals the cost of running the privacy-preserving platform—not just to drum up donations, but to call out the for-profit surveillance business models it competes against.
    https://www.wired.com/story/signal-operating-costs/

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  13. Tomi Engdahl says:

    Sarah Perez / TechCrunch:
    Bluesky plans to release a public web interface around the end of November and launch federation in early 2024, and says it crossed 2M users — Bluesky, the company building a decentralized alternative to Twitter/X, announced today it has hit 2 million users — up by another million since September …

    X rival Bluesky hits 2M users, says federation coming ‘early next year’
    https://techcrunch.com/2023/11/16/x-rival-bluesky-hits-2m-users-saying-federation-coming-early-next-year/

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  14. Tomi Engdahl says:

    Ryan Felton / Wall Street Journal:
    Amazon plans to let US auto dealers sell new vehicles on its platform, starting in 2024 with Hyundai, which will include Alexa in its cars beginning in 2025 — The companies say Hyundai will be the first brand available to car buyers on tech company’s platform starting in 2024

    Hyundai to Be First Automaker to Sell New Cars on Amazon
    Companies say Hyundai will be first brand available to car buyers on e-commerce giant’s platform starting in 2024
    https://www.wsj.com/business/autos/hyundai-to-be-first-automaker-to-sell-new-cars-on-amazon-42861c39?mod=followamazon

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  15. Tomi Engdahl says:

    Karissa Bell / Engadget:
    The web version of X’s job search tool is live for all users, with iOS and Android availability expected “soon”; applications are completed on third-party sites — You’ll still need to use third-party websites to complete an application. — The LinkedIn-like job search tool …

    X’s job search tool is now live on the web
    You’ll still need to use third-party websites to complete an application.
    https://www.engadget.com/xs-job-search-tool-is-now-live-on-the-web-010200007.html

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  16. Tomi Engdahl says:

    Zac Bowden / Windows Central:
    Microsoft launches a Windows App in preview for iOS, iPadOS, macOS, Windows, and the web, letting customers connect to Windows devices and apps remotely

    Microsoft unveils the ‘Windows app’ for accessing Windows PCs in the cloud from any device
    By Zac Bowden
    published 2 days ago
    https://www.windowscentral.com/software-apps/windows-11/microsoft-unveils-the-windows-app-for-accessing-windows-pcs-in-the-cloud-from-any-device

    Microsoft brings Windows to non-Windows devices.

    Reply
  17. Tomi Engdahl says:

    The E.U. may force Apple to allow sideloading on the iPhone. If that happens, Apple will definitely have some work ahead to get iOS ready

    Sideloading on iOS will be a dumpster fire
    https://www.androidcentral.com/apps-software/apple-needs-to-do-sideloading-right?fbclid=IwAR03xEl5WAKXVV-RyNP2L5Q1iyvfMTg_ABQEZBgs1y6MPKnFZBKQ17kCDtg

    By Jerry Hildenbrand published 1 day ago
    Apple’s iOS wasn’t designed for sideloading and there will be growing pains.

    Reply
  18. Tomi Engdahl says:

    Overcoming DRAM Fails
    October 03, 2023 by Neumonda
    https://www.allaboutcircuits.com/partner-content-hub/neumonda/overcoming-dram-fails/

    Many evolutionary changes have allowed DRAM cell size to shrink to 0.0020 um2. At sub-15nm nodes, DRAM designs require optimization to avoid some of the common failure modes like Variable Retention Time, Sensing Fails, Row Hammer, Row Press, and Sensing Fails.

    Reply
  19. Tomi Engdahl says:

    Corkscrewing Light Enables Flexible 3D Displays The technique could bring 3D images to cotton, polyester, and plastic surfaces
    https://spectrum.ieee.org/flexible-3d-display

    Reply
  20. Tomi Engdahl says:

    Kiina kertoo aloittavansa humanoidirobottien massatuotannon vuonna 2025
    Elina Hakola12.11.202314:05TEKOÄLYDIGILELUTROBOTITDIGITAALINEN TEKNOLOGIA
    Kiinan teollisuus- ja informaatioteknologian ministeriö esitteli suunnitelmiaan marraskuun ensimmäisellä viikolla ja totesi, että sen robotit tulevat muuttamaan maailmaa
    https://www.tivi.fi/uutiset/kiina-kertoo-aloittavansa-humanoidirobottien-massatuotannon-vuonna-2025/038e2fdc-e9cc-482d-9f15-3e9d202ebe8e

    Reply
  21. Tomi Engdahl says:

    Samsung-puhelinten käyttäjät saavat pian tallentaa ilmaiseksi rajattoman määrän dataa – mukana yksi iso mutta
    27.10.202314:46|päivitetty27.10.202314:46
    Tilapäinen rajoittamaton tallennustila on käytettävissä 30 päivän ajan, mistä on hyötyä esimerkiksi puhelinta vaihtaessa
    https://www.mikrobitti.fi/uutiset/samsung-puhelinten-kayttajat-saavat-pian-tallentaa-ilmaiseksi-rajattoman-maaran-dataa-mukana-yksi-iso-mutta/01797430-b97a-44ab-8663-5ffe075b683c

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  22. Tomi Engdahl says:

    https://www.edn.com/a-new-cost-optimized-high-performance-oscilloscope/

    Following the release of the MXO 4 last year, and given its popularity, Rohde and Schwarz (R&S) are now showcasing the new MXO 5 (Figure 1)―an eight-channel oscilloscope with a bandwidth up to 2 GHz, a sample rate of up to 5 giga-samples per second, and a channel-dedicated 12-bit ADC.

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  23. Tomi Engdahl says:

    TSMC Places Confidence In 3nm Node, Compares It To Intel 18A: Better Maturity, Cost & Delivery Time
    https://wccftech.com/tsmc-places-confidence-in-3nm-node-compares-intel-18a-better-maturity-cost-delivery-time/

    TSMC doesn’t believe that Intel Foundry will surpass them in the coming years since the company revealed that its 3nm process is on par with Intel’s 18A node.

    TSMC’s 3nm Implementation Could Provide a Similar Performance Output As Intel’s 18A
    Now you might be wondering how is this possible, since most of us know that “process shrinking” comes with their respective performance gains, and in this case, Intel’s 18A utilizes a smaller node compared to TSMC’s 3nm.

    Reply
  24. Tomi Engdahl says:

    Canon is Making Metalenses, Further Legitimizing the Technology
    https://petapixel.com/2023/10/23/canon-is-making-metalenses-further-legitimizing-the-technology/

    Metalenses are a relatively fringe optical technology — at least, they were. Until now, it has been largely pursued by startups and scientists but that is changing as Canon has jumped into the fray and not only makes them but also produces the equipment necessary to manufacture them.

    Reply
  25. Tomi Engdahl says:

    Victoria Song / The Verge:
    Humane’s AI Pin, marketed as a fashion accessory, is effectively a high-tech brooch, typically worn with outwear, which may present challenges in hot climates

    Humane’s AI Pin seems to be forgetting what makes a good wearable
    https://www.theverge.com/2023/11/19/23964212/humane-ai-pin-wearable-culture

    Before you disrupt everything, you have to deeply consider the current cultural norms or no one will wear your wearable.

    Reply
  26. Tomi Engdahl says:

    Qualcomm kills its copy of Apple’s satellite SOS after ten months
    Android manufacturers all said “no thanks” to Qualcomm’s first swing at the idea.
    https://arstechnica.com/gadgets/2023/11/qualcomm-kills-its-copy-of-apples-satellite-sos-after-ten-months/

    Reply

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