Here is collection of some predictions for year 2023. This is a collection of links to prediction articles followed by a short quote or quotes of what I see the main points in them.
Ennuste vuodelle 2023: Ongelmat helpottavat
“After a couple of exceptional years, the electronics market, challenged by the pandemic and pent-up demand, has signs of a calmer ride on the horizon. Mouser’s Mark Burr-Lonnon predicts slower, but more predictable growth”
“According to World Semiconductor Trade Statistics, the global semiconductor market will grow by 13.9 percent in 2022 and continue to grow by 4.6 percent in 2023. While these statistics show that global demand for semiconductors is slowing, they still show steady growth in all key regions of the world as the electronics industry begins to settle into a more manageable state of equilibrium.”
AMD, Intel, and Nvidia Reportedly Slash Orders with TSMC
“Large customers revise orders to TSMC due to the economy slowdown.”
“According to the report, virtually all TSMC clients will experience a downturn and have to cut orders, so TSMC’s utilization will decline significantly in Q1 2023. For example, the utilization rate of TSMC’s N7-capable lines (7nm, 6nm-class technologies) will decline to around 50% in early 2023. Furthermore, even TSMC’s N5/N4-capable lines will be underutilized”
Tech That Will Change Your Life in 2023
“Big layoffs at Meta, Amazon, Snap and others? A global crypto fraud set in the Bahamas? Elon Musk buying and running Twitter? Look, not even Nostradamus could have seen all that coming.”
“The Metaverse, Now More Than Just Meta. For the last two years, we’ve said this is the year for virtual and augmented reality. But in 2023 we’re confident: headsets that give you a choice of VR (where you’re in a virtual world) and AR (where the virtual is overlaid in your real world) are coming. And they won’t just be from Meta, current holder of 90% of the VR market, according to research firm IDC.”
“Tech companies and their investors are grappling with the industry’s biggest downturn since at least 2008. The result is layoffs and hiring freezes at companies large and small. The PC and chip industries in particular have been clobbered by the biggest drop in sales in more than two decades. And while many survivors of past tech downturns preach that cuts should be deep, fast and early, it appears that the pain for tech workers will continue into 2023.”
“Account moochers, beware: The Netflix password crackdown is coming in early 2023. Netflix is the first streamer with an enforcement policy.”
“China and the U.S. are so interdependent—for manufacturing of smartphones and other electronics, for EV batteries and solar panels, for raw materials and intellectual property—it seems impossible they could go their separate ways with their own parallel supply chains and production bases. Yet it’s happening.”
“Artificial Intelligence Finds Real Use”
“Smart Home Gets Easier-ish”
“European Union legislation is changing Apple’s smartphones.”
Digipelaaminen ja e-pelimediat entistä suositumpia – kännykkäpelaaminen ei kasva enää
“Digital gaming and the consumption of game-related media content is increasingly popular, according to the Gamer Barometer 2022 study conducted at the University of Tampere. An increasing proportion of Finns play digital games at least occasionally, but the number of active mobile players is no longer growing at the previous pace.
Active mobile gaming has for the first time in the history of Gamer Barometers turned into a slight decrease, but still 59 percent of Finns still occasionally play mobile games.”
Xiaomin uusin sisältää tekniikkaa, jota ei ole vielä edes standardoitu
“Wi-Fi 7 support is of course interesting, when the IEEE standard is apparently not being completed until around 2024. Next year, however, a number of Wi-Fi 7-compatible smartphones will be introduced to the market. Xiaomi’s 13 Pro will probably be the first of them. Its arrival in Finland and prices will be revealed later.”
The tech IPO market collapsed in 2022, and next year doesn’t look much better
3 views: Predicting 2023’s key startup themes
“Anna Heim: The rise of API-first startups will continue in 2023
I am convinced that API-first will be a major trend in 2023, with this approach being both more widespread than it was previously, as well as more successful than less API-heavy options.
That APIs are on the rise isn’t exactly new — but API-first startups are a subgroup in this world, and one that is enjoying tailwinds.”
“The software company Tiobe measures the popularity of programming languages with its famous index, which measures search engine searches. Changes on the list happen slowly, but in December something happened right at the top of the list. C++ became the third most popular language over Java.”
“It’s not a trivial change, as C++ overtook Java for the first time in history. The top of the list is unchanged. Python and C are clearly in a class of their own.”
Sanna Marin: EU:n pitää katkaista teknologinen riippuvuus Kiinasta
“In an interview with Slush CEO Eerika Savolainen, Marin demanded that Europe break its technological dependence on China.
- We cannot depend on China. Economic relations should not be severed, but we cannot be in a position where an authoritarian country operating with a different logic is able to blackmail us, Marin said.
- I am afraid that we will make the same mistake with technology and digitality as with energy. We thought that a close economic relationship would prevent war, but we were wrong.”
Kyberturvan ammattilaisista on huutava pula
“There is an acute shortage of cyber security professionals. There is an estimated global shortage of three million professionals.”
Innovators 2023
These are some of the innovators and leaders in the electronics technology space.
Ennuste vuodelle 2023: Ongelmat helpottavat
“the demand for smarter and more networked products and systems has also spread to business-to-business sectors, where digitization and the emergence of the fourth industrial revolution have begun to take over the sector. For example, in manufacturing, the Industrial Internet of Things (IIoT), characterized by interconnected sensors, communication/data transfer, and advanced data analytics, has transformed the efficiency of production processes in the factory. The IIoT depends on highly advanced integrated circuits that provide intelligence for sensing, measurement and monitoring, power management, control and communication.”
1,139 Comments
Tomi Engdahl says:
https://etn.fi/index.php/13-news/15582-ruotsalainen-laepimurto-northvolt-kaupallistaa-natriumakun
Tomi Engdahl says:
Broadcom Completes Acquisition of VMware
https://www.broadcom.com/company/news/financial-releases/61541
SAN JOSE, Calif., Nov. 22, 2023 /PRNewswire/ — Broadcom Inc. (NASDAQ: AVGO), a global technology leader that designs, develops, and supplies semiconductor and infrastructure software solutions, today announced that it has completed its acquisition of VMware, Inc. VMware’s common stock will now cease to be traded on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE).
Hock Tan, President and Chief Executive Officer of Broadcom, said, “We are excited to welcome VMware to Broadcom and bring together our engineering-first, innovation-centric teams as we take another important step forward in building the world’s leading infrastructure technology company.”
Broadcom’s focus moving forward is to enable enterprise customers to create and modernize their private and hybrid cloud environments. At the core, Broadcom will invest in VMware Cloud Foundation, the software stack that serves as the foundation of private and hybrid clouds. Incremental to Broadcom’s investment in VMware Cloud Foundation, VMware will offer a rich catalog of services to modernize and optimize cloud and edge environments, including VMware Tanzu to help accelerate deployment of applications, as well as Application Networking (Load Balancing) and Advanced Security services, and VMware Software-Defined Edge for Telco and enterprise edges.
Tomi Engdahl says:
Broadcom closes $69 billion VMware deal after China approval
https://www.reuters.com/markets/deals/broadcom-closes-69-bln-vmware-deal-after-china-approval-2023-11-22/
Broadcom (AVGO.O) on Wednesday closed its $69 billion acquisition of cloud-computing firm VMware (VMW.N) after receiving regulatory approval in last major market China and ending a months-long saga.
The deal, one of the biggest globally when announced in May 2022, was the latest in CEO Hock Tan’s efforts to boost the chipmaker’s software business.
However, the transaction faced tough regulatory scrutiny across the world and the companies had delayed the closing date three times.
Tomi Engdahl says:
Panimoliitto huokaisi helpotuksesta – pelätty muutos pullopantteihin peruuntumassa https://www.is.fi/taloussanomat/art-2000010009667.html
Tomi Engdahl says:
https://www.anandtech.com/show/20061/intel-demos-lunar-lake-in-action-silicon-pulled-in-to-intel-20a
Tomi Engdahl says:
Inside Intel’s Chip Factory, I Saw the Future. It’s Plain Old Glass
Intel is moving its processors to a new foundation to try to keep up with exploding demand for new computing horsepower.
https://www.cnet.com/tech/computing/features/inside-intels-chip-factory-i-saw-the-future-its-plain-old-glass/
Tomi Engdahl says:
https://www.extremetech.com/computing/intel-announces-sierra-forest-xeon-cpu-with-288-cores
Tomi Engdahl says:
https://www.cnx-software.com/2023/09/18/amlogic-s905x5-armv9-tv-box-soc-av1-h-266-ai-sr/
Tomi Engdahl says:
https://spectrum.ieee.org/agility-humanoid-robotics-factory
Tomi Engdahl says:
https://www.cnx-software.com/2023/09/13/thunderbolt-5-to-deliver-up-to-120-gbps-bandwidth-support-multiple-8k-monitors/
Tomi Engdahl says:
We used to get excited about technology. What happened?
Innovation that truly serves us all is in scarce supply. That’s a problem.
https://www.technologyreview.com/2022/10/21/1061260/innovation-technology-what-happened/
The goal of consumer tech development used to be pretty simple: design and build something of value to people, giving them a reason to buy it. A new refrigerator is shiny, cuts down on my energy bills, makes cool-looking ice cubes. So I buy it. Done. A Roomba promises to vacuum the cat hair from under my sofa while I take a nap. Sold! But this vision of tech is increasingly outdated. It’s not enough for a refrigerator to keep food cold; today’s version offers cameras and sensors that can monitor how and what I’m eating, while the Roomba could soon be able to send a map of my house to Amazon.
The issue here goes far beyond the obvious privacy risks. It’s a sea change in the entire model for innovation and the incentives that drive it. Why settle for a single profit-taking transaction for the company when you can instead design a product that will extract a monetizable data stream from every buyer, returning revenue to the company for years? Once you’ve captured that data stream, you’ll protect it, even to the disadvantage of your customer. After all, if you buy up enough of the market, you can well afford to endure your customers’ anger and frustration. Just ask Mark Zuckerberg.
Tomi Engdahl says:
Patent Shows Asus Cable-Free GPU Power Source Can Deliver Up to 900W
Asus will be rolling out this ‘cable-free’ design on an RTX 4070 this year.
https://www.extremetech.com/gaming/patent-shows-asus-cable-free-gpu-power-source-can-deliver-up-to-900w
Tomi Engdahl says:
https://hackaday.com/2023/09/11/wi-fi-7-the-next-big-leap-or-a-whole-lotta-nothing/
Tomi Engdahl says:
https://futurism.com/the-byte/lithium-found-us-worlds-largest-cache
Tomi Engdahl says:
https://www.io-tech.fi/uutinen/asus-julkaisi-intelilta-perimansa-nuc-tietokoneet/
Tomi Engdahl says:
https://www.reuters.com/technology/intel-says-new-sierra-forest-chip-more-than-double-power-efficiency-2023-08-28/
Tomi Engdahl says:
New Chinese chip uses IBM’s open standard Power ISA instead of x86 or Arm — country searches for alternatives to sanctioned US processor designs as firm debuts second-gen server CPU
News
By Anton Shilov published 2 days ago
China-based Hexin Technology taps RISC for future server CPUs.
https://www.tomshardware.com/news/china-chip-ibm-open-source-power-isa-x86-arm-server-cpu-us-sanctions
Tomi Engdahl says:
https://muropaketti.com/pelit/peliuutiset/coredirector-on-optimointityokalu-intel-suorittimille-voi-parantaa-pelisuorituskykya/
Tomi Engdahl says:
With Functional Source License, Sentry wants to grant developers freedom ‘without harmful free-riding’
But one critic calls it ‘proprietary gatekeeping wrapped in open-washed clothing’
https://techcrunch.com/2023/11/20/with-functional-source-license-sentry-wants-to-grant-developers-freedom-without-harmful-free-riding/
Yet another software license is vying for the attentions of SaaS companies seeking to align themselves with the open source realm, without compromising their commercial endeavors.
Sentry, an app performance monitoring (APM) company that helps companies such as Disney, Microsoft and Cisco track and resolve laggy or buggy applications, has transitioned its core product to a new license it designed called the Functional Source License (FSL). The company’s open source chief Chad Whitacre says the license is for any SaaS firm that wishes to “grant freedom without harmful free-riding.”
“There’s been a long history of companies with deeper pockets and more resources taking advantage of traditional open source companies,”
Tomi Engdahl says:
https://muropaketti.com/tietotekniikka/tietotekniikkauutiset/kuluttajasuorittimien-kellotaajuudessa-ennatys-intelin-uusi-suoritin-listattiin-jalleenmyyjan-sivuilla/
Tomi Engdahl says:
https://muropaketti.com/tietotekniikka/tietotekniikkauutiset/intel-meteor-lake-suorittimien-yhdysrakenteinen-naytonohjain-vaikuttaa-patevalta-peittosi-amdn-erillisnaytonohjaimen/
Tomi Engdahl says:
https://etn.fi/index.php/13-news/15545-myoes-samsung-siirtyi-latureissa-galliumnitridiin
Tomi Engdahl says:
https://etn.fi/index.php/13-news/15543-qualcommin-piirisarja-ei-tuokaan-satelliittiyhteyksiae-android-puhelimiin
Tomi Engdahl says:
Amazon’s new thin client looks just like a Fire TV Cube…and that’s by design. The company this morning announced the launch of new $195 devices that allow enterprise users to access virtual desktop environments, like Amazon WorkSpaces, over the internet. The devices are housed in Fire TV Cube hardware — a decision Amazon made to
https://techcrunch.com/2023/11/27/amazons-new-195-thin-client-looks-just-like-a-fire-tv-cube/?tpcc=tcplusfacebook&fbclid=IwAR21p4gytePuXrORiE4FGsQgGfek4jLLdINAftiaii-DXjdkapD9v0ubZK0&guccounter=1&guce_referrer=aHR0cDovL20uZmFjZWJvb2suY29tLw&guce_referrer_sig=AQAAADNdk8aC3f7Uu9pD3fJv1uGd5-4xkic9_YRq7SQpTrlazNJCX9rR-o7QFcVZQUxHq2Oyn8omrozSUOtTOoWHFTcskpw9h9IO7RK3AR9knjC55OKDHIo_iv_30FRw8SH2c1BORs8uz2Fgu7-WMBKjmieQc514KBOr3XxXblm26hCH
Tomi Engdahl says:
https://www.tomshardware.com/news/hdd-materials-supplier-collapses
Tomi Engdahl says:
https://arstechnica.com/gaming/2019/01/tales-of-an-aging-gamer-why-dont-i-pick-up-a-controller-as-often-as-i-used-to/
Tomi Engdahl says:
https://devclass.com/2023/11/23/ubuntu-chiselled-containers-arrive-for-net-smaller-more-secure-but-beware-sharp-edges/
Tomi Engdahl says:
Loongson 3A6000 CPU which is made for China’s domestic PC market has reached performance parity with Intel’s 14th Gen CPUs in clock-to-clock tests.
China’s Loongson 3A6000 CPU Reaches Core i5-14600K Performance In Clock-To-Clock Test, Overclocked To 3 GHz
https://wccftech.com/china-loongson-3a6000-cpu-reaches-core-i5-14600k-performance-clock-to-clock-test-overclocked-to-3-ghz/?fbclid=IwAR2gsZJTMpdlLsVucxaUUiiG4WGXC_iQgLKUtas-SD3_VsJtFZOZMW86UXk
Loongson 3A6000 CPU which is made for China’s domestic PC market has reached performance parity with Intel’s 14th Gen CPUs in clock-to-clock tests.
Loongson 3A6000 CPU Shows Strong Clock-To-Clock Performance Against Intel’s Latest CPUs, Can Be A Game Changer For China’s PC Segment If Not For The Low Clock Speeds
Last month, we got our first true taste of the much-awaited Loongson 3A6000 CPU which is a brand new chip designed to serve China’s PC market. In the preview, we saw that the chip managed to get on par with the latest Intel and AMD Desktop CPUs in terms of IPC and now, we have new tests that further show the capabilities of this processor.
Tomi Engdahl says:
Amazon Unveils Graviton4: A 96-Core ARM CPU with 536.7 GBps Memory Bandwidth
https://www.anandtech.com/show/21172/amazon-unveils-graviton4-a-96core-cpu-with-5367-gbs-memory-bandwidth?utm_content=anandtech&utm_campaign=socialflow&utm_source=facebook.com&utm_medium=social&fbclid=IwAR3Cc8jDPs5yfmYqLOXCuRHkVgqoICmZ_1K2vTRu7J-_47I5Ye5v7PgqUHg
Tomi Engdahl says:
Despite annual revenues measured in the billions, Unity has struggled to show a profit in recent years.
Unity lays off hundreds of Weta Digital engineers as it pivots back to games
More cuts likely as troubled engine maker seeks to “increase our focus on our core.”
https://arstechnica.com/gaming/2023/11/unity-lays-off-hundreds-of-weta-digital-engineers-as-it-pivots-back-to-games/?utm_source=facebook&utm_brand=ars&utm_social-type=owned&utm_medium=social&fbclid=IwAR0nEbp_q5HIk1f080k8a_6hFbdDZIOGf45lvjNtz1NrNofXwg25SrffVAo
Tomi Engdahl says:
https://etn.fi/index.php/13-news/15555-jakelijoiden-luvut-menevaet-nyt-alaspaein
Tomi Engdahl says:
https://etn.fi/index.php/13-news/15557-tektronix-toi-pythonin-testausautomaatioon
Mittauslaitevalmistaja Tektronix on esitellyt avoimen lähdekoodin Python-ajurit instrumenttiensa ohjaamiseen. Ajuripaketti tm_devices on ladattavissa ilmaiseksi testereihin, jotka tukevat tekniikkaa.
Tomi Engdahl says:
Pickering tuo lisää tehoa PXIe-pohjaiseen testaukseen
https://etn.fi/index.php/13-news/15559-pickering-tuo-lisaeae-tehoa-pxie-pohjaiseen-testaukseen
Tomi Engdahl says:
https://etn.fi/index.php/13-news/15560-amd-toi-massiivisen-tehon-sulautettuihin
AMD on esitellyt uuden prosessoriperheen sulautettuihin sovelluksiin. Ryzen 7000 -sarja tuo PC-prosessoreista tutut Zen 4 -ytimet, tehokkaan Radeon-grafiikan ja jopa 28 linjan PCIe 5 -liitännät teollisuuslaitteiden käyttöön.
Piirille integroitu Radeon RNDA 2 -grafiikkaprosessori oeproi jopa 2,2 gigahertsin kellotaajuudella. Jopa 5,4 gigahertsin Zen 4 -ytimiä CPU-puolella on kaksitoista kappaletta. Piirit ovat ensimmäisiä sulautettuihin sovelluksiin räätälöityjä suorittimia, jotka valmistetaan 5 nanometrin prosessissa.
Tomi Engdahl says:
https://etn.fi/index.php/13-news/15561-microsoft-kehitti-kaksi-omaa-prosessoria-tekoaelyae-varten
Tomi Engdahl says:
Yes, you can have too many CPU cores – Ampere’s 192-core chips break ARM64 Linux kernel in two-socket systems, company requests higher core count support
News
By Aaron Klotz published 2 days ago
Core counts for ARM-based server CPUs are overwhelming Linux operating systems.
https://www.tomshardware.com/pc-components/cpus/yes-you-can-have-too-many-cores-amperes-192-core-cpus-break-arm64-linux-kernel-in-two-socket-systems-company-requests-higher-core-count-support-for-mainline-linux
Tomi Engdahl says:
https://muropaketti.com/tietotekniikka/tietotekniikkauutiset/broadcom-osti-wmwaren-ja-aloitti-heti-irtisanomsiet/
Tomi Engdahl says:
https://techcrunch.com/2023/11/28/plane-takes-on-jira-with-open-source-project-management-tools-for-software-teams/
Tomi Engdahl says:
https://www.puhelinvertailu.com/uutiset/2023/11/27/kannattaako-hankkia-taittuvanayttoinen-puhelin
Tomi Engdahl says:
https://source.wustl.edu/2023/08/simple-ballpoint-pen-can-write-custom-leds/
Tomi Engdahl says:
https://arstechnica.com/gadgets/2023/10/long-gone-dec-is-still-powering-the-world-of-computing/
Tomi Engdahl says:
https://www.hackster.io/news/alexander-kirillov-s-yozh-is-an-expandable-compact-open-source-robot-for-education-and-more-c76d338abb74
Tomi Engdahl says:
https://hackaday.com/2023/11/26/the-slow-march-of-sodium-ion-batteries-to-compete-with-lithium-ion/
Tomi Engdahl says:
Google Announce the Open Source Release of Project Guideline: Revolutionizing Accessibility with On-Device Machine Learning for Independent Mobility
https://www.marktechpost.com/2023/11/25/google-announce-the-open-source-release-of-project-guideline-revolutionizing-accessibility-with-on-device-machine-learning-for-independent-mobility/
Tomi Engdahl says:
https://www.pihlapro.fi/antennilasi-on-tutkitusti-toimiva-ratkaisu-kuuluvuusongelmiin/?utm_source=fb&utm_medium=paid_social&utm_campaign=Rema+-+Antennilasi&utm_content=2+-+Kuva+-+Blur+-+Ikonit+-+Ulkokuva+-+Kysymys+-+Ilmanlogoa&utm_id=23850051197200032&fbclid=IwAR2WfFPiklqhbDxQV3f_WEUvB6i-1u2kt8QFs9wPx2t8Baoy6tWl4xHIz-g_aem_Aek6ax6zyu6dYFAxxNVZwrcYTBF8a4fvRrNOVfHpYN98SzBLnE1ZGZWggD1lnwXtuTL5Z9CeUUqpDEnQcvzefQgS
Tomi Engdahl says:
How technology is speeding sustainable development
Innovative solutions are empowering progress toward sustainability, exemplified by a Japanese company improving its operations around forestry, cotton production and energy
https://www.nature.com/articles/d42473-023-00291-6
Tomi Engdahl says:
https://muropaketti.com/tietotekniikka/tietotekniikkauutiset/amdlta-tulossa-uusia-ryzen-5000-suorittimia-tarjolla-3d-v-cache/
Tomi Engdahl says:
https://www.extremetech.com/computing/microsoft-reveals-its-first-custom-processors
Tomi Engdahl says:
https://mobiili.fi/2023/11/28/ikea-julkisti-kolme-edullista-alykodin-anturia-seuraavat-liiketta-ikkunoiden-ja-ovien-avaamista-seka-vesivuotoja/
Tomi Engdahl says:
Korvaako tämä laite pian puhelimen? https://www.is.fi/digitoday/mobiili/art-2000009987297.html
AI Pin aktivoituu koskettaessa ja tekee älypuhelimen temppuja.
HUMANE-niminen sanfranciscolainen startup-yritys on esitellyt rintaan kiinnitettävän AI Pin -laitteen, jonka on määrä korvata puhelin. Kyseessä on tekoälyyn nojaava laite, joka pystyy ottamaan valokuvia, lähettämään ääneen puhuttuja tekstiviestejä, soittamaan puheluita, heijastamaan käyttöliittymän käyttäjän kämmenelle. Lisäksi se sisältää virtuaaliavustajan, joka perustuu keskustelevaan ChatGPT-tekoälyyn.
Uutuudesta kirjoittavat esimerkiksi The Verge ja Wired-lehti. Yhtiön mainoskuvissa AI Pin muistuttaa jossain määrin Star Trek -tieteissarjoista tuttuja kommunikaattoreita, jotka niin ikään ovat kiinni käyttäjänsä rinnassa. AI Pin pyrkii myös kääntämään keskusteluja kielestä toiselle tosiajassa, mikä tuo mieleen Star Trekin universal translator -työkalun.
WIRED-lehden mukaan rintanapin on tarkoitus lopettaa ihmisten riippuvuus älypuhelimista. Aluksi Yhdysvalloissa ensi vuonna tarjolle tuleva AI Pin maksaa 699 dollaria ja vaatii lisäksi 24 dollarin kuukausimaksun. Itse laitteen lisäksi käyttäjän tulee kuljettaa mukanaan esimerkiksi vaatteisiin magneettisesti kiinnittyvää akkua.
AI Pinin menestystä on vaikea ennakoida. Se voi kuitenkin olla ensimmäisiä merkkejä puhelimen jälkeisestä ajasta ja avaus, joka saattaa kiinnostaa uuteen teknologiaan etunenässä siirtyviä.
Laite on herättänyt paljon kiinnostusta teknologiapiireissä ja aiheuttanut paljon keskustelua sosiaalisessa mediassa.
Joidenkin arvioiden mukaan älypuhelimen on ennustettu kuolevan noin kymmenessä vuodessa.
Humane officially launches the AI Pin, its OpenAI-powered wearable / It’s a gadget designed for interacting with large language models, not apps, and for talking instead of typing. But it’s not yet entirely clear what you’re supposed to use it for.
https://www.theverge.com/2023/11/9/23953901/humane-ai-pin-launch-date-price-openai